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Serie B

Referee: F Fourneau

Modena

S S S T T

0–2

Full-time

Palermo

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,8

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 45%

60%

30%

Average goals

3,1

2,4

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%

15 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 8

8 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Modena 12. · Palermo 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	10	7	0	3	+9	21
2	Genoa	10	6	3	1	+6	21
3	Ternana	11	6	2	3	+4	20
4	Bari	11	5	4	2	+6	19
5	Reggina	10	6	0	4	+11	18
6	Brescia	10	5	2	3	-1	17
7	Sudtirol	10	5	2	3	-1	17
8	Parma	10	4	4	2	+4	16
9	Ascoli	10	4	3	3	+1	15
10	Cagliari	10	4	2	4	-1	14
11	Spal	10	3	4	3	+2	13
12	Modena	10	4	0	6	+1	12
13	Cittadella	10	2	5	3	-4	11
14	Cosenza	10	3	2	5	-7	11
15	Pisa	10	2	4	4	+0	10
16	Benevento	10	2	3	5	-3	9
17	Venezia	10	2	3	5	-4	9
18	Palermo	10	2	3	5	-6	9
19	Como	10	2	3	5	-9	9
20	Perugia	10	2	1	7	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Reggina	5	4	0	1	+12	12
3	Brescia	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Ternana	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Parma	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Modena	5	3	0	2	+5	9
7	Spal	5	3	0	2	+4	9
8	Cagliari	5	3	0	2	-1	9
9	Palermo	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Sudtirol	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Cittadella	5	2	2	1	+0	8
12	Como	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	Ascoli	6	2	2	2	-1	8
14	Bari	5	1	3	1	+2	6
15	Cosenza	4	2	0	2	+1	6
16	Genoa	4	1	3	0	+1	6
17	Pisa	5	1	2	2	+0	5
18	Benevento	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Perugia	5	1	1	3	-4	4
20	Venezia	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	6	5	0	1	+5	15
2	Bari	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Ternana	6	3	1	2	+0	10
4	Sudtirol	5	3	0	2	-2	9
5	Venezia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Ascoli	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Parma	5	1	3	1	+1	6
8	Frosinone	5	2	0	3	+0	6
9	Reggina	5	2	0	3	-1	6
10	Brescia	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Pisa	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Benevento	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Cagliari	5	1	2	2	+0	5
14	Cosenza	6	1	2	3	-8	5
15	Spal	5	0	4	1	-2	4
16	Modena	5	1	0	4	-4	3
17	Perugia	5	1	0	4	-4	3
18	Cittadella	5	0	3	2	-4	3
19	Palermo	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Como	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.