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Serie B
Referee: F Meraviglia
Spal
U T S U U
1–2
Full-time
Benevento
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Benevento
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
25%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
33%
25%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,9
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
6 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spal 11. · Benevento 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 13 10 0 3 +12 30
2 Reggina 12 7 1 4 +12 22
3 Genoa 12 6 4 2 +5 22
4 Ternana 12 6 3 3 +4 21
5 Bari 12 5 5 2 +6 20
6 Parma 12 5 4 3 +4 19
7 Ascoli 13 5 4 4 +2 19
8 Brescia 12 5 4 3 -1 19
9 Sudtirol 12 5 4 3 -1 19
10 Cagliari 12 4 4 4 -1 16
11 Spal 12 3 6 3 +2 15
12 Cittadella 12 3 6 3 -2 15
13 Palermo 12 4 3 5 -3 15
14 Pisa 12 3 5 4 +2 14
15 Modena 12 4 1 7 -1 13
16 Como 12 3 3 6 -9 12
17 Benevento 12 2 5 5 -3 11
18 Cosenza 12 3 2 7 -10 11
19 Venezia 12 2 3 7 -7 9
20 Perugia 12 2 1 9 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spal Benevento
1–0 S. Esposito
10′
Lorenzo Dickmann 🟨
12′
Alessandro Murgia 🟨
32′
34′
ℹ️ Riccardo Capellini
VAR: Goal cancelled
Raffaele Celia 🟨
43′
Andrea La Mantia 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
L. Valzania 🔁
↦ A. La Mantia
46′
S. Rabbi 🔁
↦ F. Maistro
58′
A. Tripaldelli 🔁
↦ R. Celia
58′
Patryk Peda 🟥
62′
64′
🔁 F. Forte
↦ M. Leverbe
A. Almici 🔁
↦ G. Moncini
65′
68′
🟨 Pasquale Schiattarella
69′
🟨 Kamil Glik
73′
🔁 E. Masciangelo
↦ D. Foulon
74′
R. Capellini 1–1
77′
A. La Gumina 1–2
Diego Farias
G. Tunjov 🔁
↦ L. Dickmann
81′
84′
🔁 I. Koutsoupias
↦ Diego Farias
88′
🟨 Ilias Koutsoupias
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Spal

3-4-1-2
1 E. Alfonso G
27 P. Peda D
6 B. Meccariello D
4 C. Dalle Mura D
24 L. Dickmann M
23 A. Murgia M
5 S. Esposito M
21 R. Celia M
37 F. Maistro F
19 A. La Mantia F
9 G. Moncini F
Bench (12)
16 L. Valzania
99 S. Rabbi
3 A. Tripaldelli
29 A. Almici
40 G. Tunjov
32 N. Rauti
8 F. Proia
20 M. Prati
2 A. Fiordaliso
22 D. Thiam
11 M. Finotto
14 F. Zuculini

Coach: D. De Rossi

Benevento

3-5-2
21 A. Paleari G
33 M. Leverbe D
15 K. Glik D
96 R. Capellini D
3 G. Letizia M
16 R. Improta M
7 N. Karić M
27 P. Schiattarella M
18 D. Foulon M
20 A. La Gumina F
10 Diego Farias F
Bench (11)
88 F. Forte
5 E. Masciangelo
80 I. Koutsoupias
36 F. Perlingieri
22 I. Lucatelli
17 E. Agnello
37 A. Veltri
12 N. Manfredini
30 A. Basit
79 S. Sanogo
14 P. Thiam

Coach: F. Cannavaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,43
U
3,13
B ✓
2,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Meraviglia · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,60 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.