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Serie B
Perugia
T T S T U
1–1
Full-time
Cosenza
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-2,2
This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

14 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 7
2 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Perugia 12. · Cosenza 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brescia 4 3 1 0 +8 10
2 Pisa 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Ascoli 3 3 0 0 +3 9
4 Frosinone 4 2 2 0 +4 8
5 Parma 3 2 1 0 +5 7
6 Cremonese 3 2 0 1 +4 6
7 Cittadella 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Reggina 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Monza 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Spal 3 1 1 1 +4 4
11 Benevento 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Perugia 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Crotone 4 0 3 1 -2 3
14 Cosenza 3 1 0 2 -4 3
15 Como 4 0 2 2 -3 2
16 Lecce 3 0 2 1 -3 2
17 Vicenza 3 0 0 3 -4 0
18 Alessandria 3 0 0 3 -5 0
19 Ternana 3 0 0 3 -6 0
20 Pordenone 3 0 0 3 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,88
U ✓
3,34
B
4,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.