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Serie B

Referee: G Aureliano

Bari

U U U U S

4–1

Full-time

Modena

U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Modena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 60%

56%

63%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%

8 Shots 26

5 Shots on target 10

3 Blocked shots 6

9 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 11

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bari 4. · Modena 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	16	11	2	3	+15	35
2	Reggina	17	10	2	5	+13	32
3	Genoa	17	7	6	4	+5	27
4	Bari	16	6	8	2	+9	26
5	Ternana	17	7	5	5	+2	26
6	Brescia	16	6	6	4	-1	24
7	Parma	16	6	5	5	+4	23
8	Sudtirol	17	5	8	4	-3	23
9	Pisa	16	5	7	4	+6	22
10	Ascoli	17	5	7	5	+0	22
11	Cagliari	17	5	7	5	-1	22
12	Modena	16	6	3	7	+1	21
13	Benevento	17	5	6	6	-1	21
14	Palermo	17	5	5	7	-4	20
15	Venezia	17	5	4	8	-4	19
16	Cittadella	17	4	7	6	-7	19
17	Spal	17	3	8	6	-2	17
18	Cosenza	17	4	5	8	-11	17
19	Como	17	3	7	7	-10	16
20	Perugia	17	3	4	10	-11	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	7	6	1	0	+10	19
2	Reggina	8	5	1	2	+10	16
3	Parma	9	5	1	3	+4	16
4	Ternana	8	4	3	1	+5	15
5	Brescia	8	4	3	1	+4	15
6	Cagliari	9	4	3	2	+0	15
7	Pisa	8	4	2	2	+6	14
8	Sudtirol	9	2	6	1	+1	12
9	Palermo	9	3	3	3	+1	12
10	Como	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Modena	8	3	2	3	+3	11
12	Spal	9	3	2	4	+2	11
13	Genoa	8	2	5	1	+2	11
14	Cosenza	8	3	2	3	+1	11
15	Ascoli	9	2	4	3	-2	10
16	Cittadella	8	2	4	2	-3	10
17	Benevento	9	2	3	4	-3	9
18	Bari	7	1	5	1	+2	8
19	Perugia	8	2	2	4	-5	8
20	Venezia	9	2	1	6	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	9	5	3	1	+7	18
2	Frosinone	9	5	1	3	+5	16
3	Reggina	9	5	1	3	+3	16
4	Genoa	9	5	1	3	+3	16
5	Venezia	8	3	3	2	+2	12
6	Ascoli	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Benevento	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Ternana	9	3	2	4	-3	11
9	Sudtirol	8	3	2	3	-4	11
10	Modena	8	3	1	4	-2	10
11	Cittadella	9	2	3	4	-4	9
12	Brescia	8	2	3	3	-5	9
13	Pisa	8	1	5	2	+0	8
14	Palermo	8	2	2	4	-5	8
15	Parma	7	1	4	2	+0	7
16	Cagliari	8	1	4	3	-1	7
17	Spal	8	0	6	2	-4	6
18	Cosenza	9	1	3	5	-12	6
19	Perugia	9	1	2	6	-6	5
20	Como	8	0	4	4	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.