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Serie B

Referee: G Camplone

Bari

S S U

1–1

Full-time

Palermo

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

3,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

18 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bari 10. · Palermo 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Spal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Spal	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.