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Serie B
Referee: D Di Marco
Ternana
T T T T T
1–2
Full-time
Sampdoria
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ternana Sampdoria
5′
⚽ A. La Gumina 0–1
César Falletti 🟨
35′
Mattia Proietti 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
N. Pyyhtiä 🔁
↦ F. Damian
46′
A. Raimondo 🔁
↦ A. Ferrante
46′
54′
🔁 D. Ghilardi
↦ N. Murru
Alessandro Celli 🟨
60′
F. Paghera 🔁
↦ T. Casasola
67′
72′
🔁 K. Askildsen
↦ L. Benedetti
F. Distefano 🔁
↦ C. Favasuli
73′
73′
🔁 M. De Luca
↦ A. La Gumina
A. Favilli 🔁
↦ C. Falletti
77′
77′
⚽ F. Depaoli 0–2
K. Askildsen
81′
🔁 S. Panada
↦ Gerard Yepes
82′
🔁 M. Stoppa
↦ F. Depaoli
90′
🟨 Valerio Verre
1–2 F. Distefano ⚽
N. Pyyhtiä
91′
Luka Bogdan 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ternana

3-5-2
1 A. Iannarilli G
23 S. Diakité D
26 L. Bogdan D
3 A. Celli D
15 T. Casasola M
5 F. Damian M
8 M. Proietti M
27 C. Favasuli M
91 N. Corrado M
10 C. Falletti F
99 A. Ferrante F
Bench (12)
66 N. Pyyhtiä
9 A. Raimondo
20 F. Paghera
28 F. Distefano
17 A. Favilli
13 V. Mantovani
73 A. Mărginean
77 Gabriel Brazão
4 F. Sørensen
19 M. Capuano
33 C. Travaglini
11 G. Capanni

Coach: C. Lucarelli

Sampdoria

4-3-3
1 F. Stanković G
24 B. Bereszyński D
25 A. Ferrari D
29 N. Murru D
21 S. Giordano D
80 L. Benedetti M
28 Gerard Yepes M
10 V. Verre M
23 F. Depaoli F
20 A. La Gumina F
11 Estanis Pedrola F
Bench (12)
87 D. Ghilardi
5 K. Askildsen
9 M. De Luca
6 S. Panada
14 M. Stoppa
18 L. Di Stefano
77 M. Delle Monache
97 F. Paoletti
2 L. Aquino
22 N. Ravaglia
17 L. Malagrida
3 A. Barreca

Coach: A. Pirlo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,22
🔒
U
3,37
🔒
B ✓
2,18
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,96
🔒
U2,5
1,81
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Di Marco · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.