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Serie A
Referee: R Abisso
Sampdoria
S S T T S
1–1
Full-time
Venezia
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — Serie A · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
24%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
82%
47%
Both score Ø 59%
65%
53%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
18 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 15. · Venezia 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 18 13 4 1 +33 43
2 Milan 17 12 3 2 +17 39
3 Atalanta 18 11 4 3 +14 37
4 Napoli 17 11 3 3 +21 36
5 Roma 18 10 1 7 +10 31
6 Fiorentina 18 10 1 7 +9 31
7 Juventus 18 9 4 5 +8 31
8 Lazio 18 8 4 6 +3 28
9 Empoli 18 8 3 7 -2 27
10 Sassuolo 18 6 6 6 +2 24
11 Bologna 18 7 3 8 -7 24
12 Verona 17 6 5 6 +3 23
13 Torino 17 6 4 7 +4 22
14 Udinese 18 4 8 6 -2 20
15 Sampdoria 17 5 3 9 -8 18
16 Venezia 17 4 4 9 -14 16
17 Spezia 18 3 4 11 -21 13
18 Genoa 18 1 7 10 -18 10
19 Cagliari 18 1 7 10 -21 10
20 Salernitana 18 2 2 14 -31 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Venezia
1–0 M. Gabbiadini
F. Caputo
1′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 T. Henry
↦ T. Tessmann
58′
🔁 A. Vacca
↦ E. Ampadu
R. Drăgușin 🔁
↦ B. Bereszyński
61′
V. Verre 🔁
↦ M. Gabbiadini
61′
69′
🔁 A. Sigurðsson
↦ D. Johnsen
69′
🔁 D. Črnigoj
↦ G. Busio
F. Quagliarella 🔁
↦ F. Caputo
75′
78′
🔁 F. Forte
↦ M. Aramu
Emil Audero 🟨
81′
82′
🟨 Francesco Forte
K. Askildsen 🔁
↦ A. Ekdal
86′
87′
T. Henry 1–1
A. Vacca
Adrien Silva 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-3-1-2
1 E. Audero G
22 M. Yoshida D
24 B. Bereszyński D
15 O. Colley D
3 T. Augello D
5 Adrien Silva M
87 A. Candreva M
6 A. Ekdal M
2 M. Thorsby F
10 F. Caputo F
23 M. Gabbiadini M
Bench (12)
19 R. Drăgușin
8 V. Verre
27 F. Quagliarella
16 K. Askildsen
29 N. Murru
11 R. Ciervo
12 F. Depaoli
4 J. Chabot
30 N. Ravaglia
28 Gerard Yepes
33 W. Falcone
25 A. Ferrari

Coach: R. D'Aversa

Venezia

4-3-3
88 S. Romero G
31 M. Caldara D
7 P. Mazzocchi D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
22 T. Ebuehi D
44 E. Ampadu M
23 S. Kiyine F
27 G. Busio M
8 T. Tessmann M
10 M. Aramu F
17 D. Johnsen F
Bench (12)
14 T. Henry
5 A. Vacca
11 A. Sigurðsson
33 D. Črnigoj
9 F. Forte
3 C. Molinaro
28 D. Schnegg
19 B. Bjarkason
42 D. Peretz
12 L. Lezzerini
30 M. Svoboda
18 D. Heymans

Coach: P. Zanetti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,79
U ✓
3,76
B
4,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Abisso · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.