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Serie B
Referee: P Tremolada
Juve Stabia
S T U U U
0–3
Full-time
Spezia
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juve Stabia Spezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 10
7 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 8
23 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juve Stabia 8. · Spezia 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 13 8 4 1 +13 28
2 Pisa 13 8 4 1 +11 28
3 Spezia 12 6 6 0 +8 24
4 Cesena 12 5 3 4 +2 18
5 Cremonese 13 5 3 5 +1 18
6 Cosenza 13 4 6 3 +0 18
7 Palermo 13 4 5 4 +2 17
8 Juve Stabia 12 4 5 3 +0 17
9 Brescia 13 5 2 6 -2 17
10 Mantova 13 4 4 5 -3 16
11 Sampdoria 13 4 3 6 -2 15
12 Bari 12 2 8 2 +2 14
13 Catanzaro 12 2 8 2 +2 14
14 Modena 13 3 5 5 -1 14
15 Reggiana 12 3 4 5 -2 13
16 Salernitana 12 3 4 5 -3 13
17 Carrarese 13 3 4 6 -4 13
18 Sudtirol 13 4 1 8 -6 13
19 Cittadella 12 3 4 5 -8 13
20 Frosinone 13 1 7 5 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juve Stabia Spezia
18′
F. Esposito 0–1
G. Di Serio
29′
🟨 Przemysław Wiśniewski
43′
🟨 Giuseppe Di Serio
Half-time 0–1
Marco Ruggero 🟨
48′
48′
🟨 Salvatore Elia
58′
🟨 Pietro Candelari
61′
🔁 F. Cassata
↦ P. Candelari
61′
🔁 E. Soleri
↦ G. Di Serio
G. Artistico 🔁
↦ N. Mosti
66′
M. Meli 🔁
↦ R. Floriani Mussolini
66′
73′
🔁 L. Vignali
↦ S. Elia
73′
🔁 D. Degli Innocenti
↦ Á. Nagy
75′
ℹ️ Duccio Degli Innocenti
VAR: Penalty confirmed
77′
Salvatore Esposito
penalty missed
77′
S. Esposito 0–2
G. Leone 🔁
↦ F. Maistro
78′
L. Candellone 🔁
↦ D. Buglio
78′
K. Piscopo 🔁
↦ C. Pierobon
82′
Andrea Adorante 🟨
84′
88′
🔁 A. Čolak
↦ F. Esposito
88′
A. Čolak 0–3
F. Cassata
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Juve Stabia

3-4-2-1
20 D. Thiam G
4 M. Ruggero D
24 M. Varnier D
23 F. Folino D
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
8 D. Buglio M
10 C. Pierobon M
29 N. Fortini M
98 N. Mosti F
37 F. Maistro F
9 A. Adorante F
Bench (12)
90 G. Artistico
14 M. Meli
55 G. Leone
27 L. Candellone
11 K. Piscopo
6 M. Bellich
13 M. Baldi
5 T. Di Marco
25 A. Gerbo
7 F. Zuccon
1 K. Matošević
3 Y. Rocchetti

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Spezia

3-5-2
66 S. Gori G
2 P. Wiśniewski D
55 P. Hristov D
77 N. Bertola D
37 A. Matějů M
8 Á. Nagy M
5 S. Esposito M
36 P. Candelari M
7 S. Elia M
20 G. Di Serio F
9 F. Esposito F
Bench (12)
29 F. Cassata
27 E. Soleri
32 L. Vignali
6 D. Degli Innocenti
17 A. Čolak
4 Salvador Ferrer
13 A. Reca
12 D. Mascardi
65 S. Giorgeschi
44 M. Benvenuto
80 R. Kouda
82 H. Djankpata

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,93
U
2,99
B ✓
2,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,40
U2,5
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Tremolada · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.