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Serie B
Referee: D Di Marco
Salernitana
S U T T S
3–1
Full-time
Cosenza
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — Serie B · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 21%
24%
18%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
39%
39%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 11
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salernitana 18. · Cosenza 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 33 23 6 4 +39 75
2 Pisa 33 19 7 7 +23 64
3 Spezia 34 15 15 4 +24 60
4 Cremonese 33 14 11 8 +16 53
5 Juve Stabia 33 13 11 9 +2 50
6 Catanzaro 33 10 18 5 +8 48
7 Palermo 33 12 9 12 +7 45
8 Bari 33 9 17 7 +4 44
9 Cesena 33 11 11 11 +1 44
10 Modena 33 9 14 10 +0 41
11 Frosinone 34 8 15 11 -11 39
12 Carrarese 33 9 11 13 -9 38
13 Mantova 33 8 13 12 -9 37
14 Cittadella 33 9 9 15 -21 36
15 Brescia 33 7 14 12 -7 35
16 Sudtirol 33 9 8 16 -11 35
17 Sampdoria 33 7 14 12 -11 35
18 Salernitana 33 8 9 16 -13 33
19 Reggiana 33 7 11 15 -13 32
20 Cosenza 33 6 13 14 -19 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salernitana Cosenza
10′
🟨 Christian Kouan
Andrés Tello 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
A. Hrustić 🔁
↦ A. Tello
46′
1–0 T. Corazza
50′
54′
🔁 Charlys
↦ C. Kouan
54′
🔁 S. Mazzocchi
↦ A. Rizzo Pinna
Fabio Ruggeri 🟨
56′
F. Tongya 🔁
↦ D. Verde
61′
S. Nwankwo 🔁
↦ A. Cerri
61′
2–0 G. Ferrari
64′
Gian Marco Ferrari ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
66′
74′
🔁 T. D'Orazio
↦ G. Ricci
P. Stojanović 🔁
↦ R. Soriano
76′
3–0 F. Tongya
78′
Ajdin Hrustić 🟨
80′
81′
🔁 M. Zilli
↦ G. Artistico
81′
🔁 P. Martino
↦ M. Ricciardi
82′
M. Zilli 3–1
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Salernitana

3-4-2-1
53 O. Christensen G
13 F. Ruggeri D
33 G. Ferrari D
47 L. Lochoshvili D
29 P. Ghiglione M
70 A. Tello M
73 L. Amatucci M
16 T. Corazza M
31 D. Verde F
21 R. Soriano F
90 A. Cerri F
Bench (12)
8 A. Hrustić
7 F. Tongya
9 S. Nwankwo
30 P. Stojanović
17 L. Njoh
18 F. Caligara
2 D. Gentile
55 L. Sepe
99 A. Raimondo
19 J. Reine-Adélaïde
44 P. Jaroszyński
72 S. Girelli

Coach: P. Marino

Cosenza

3-4-1-2
1 A. Micai G
55 A. Hristov D
29 F. Sgarbi D
23 M. Venturi D
16 M. Ricciardi M
5 M. Gargiulo M
28 C. Kouan M
31 G. Ricci M
34 A. Florenzi F
20 A. Rizzo Pinna F
9 G. Artistico F
Bench (12)
6 Charlys
30 S. Mazzocchi
11 T. D'Orazio
21 M. Zilli
4 P. Martino
2 B. Cimino
22 T. Vettorel
17 A. Caporale
19 R. Ciervo
15 C. Dalle Mura
10 T. Fumagalli
39 C. Kourfalidis

Coach: M. Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
3,55
B
4,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Di Marco · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.