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Serie B

Referee: L Zufferli

Spezia

T U U T S

0–1

Full-time

Reggiana

U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Reggiana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

1,7

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 23%

23%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

35%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

50%

65%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,96 xG 0,45

66% Possession 34%

22 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 1

0 Offside 5

14 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 17. · Reggiana 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Venezia	27	17	6	4	+29	+22.5	57
2	Monza	27	17	6	4	+21	+12.3	57
3	Frosinone	26	15	8	3	+24	+6.1	53
4	Palermo	26	14	9	3	+26	+8.4	51
5	Catanzaro	26	12	8	6	+10	-0.7	44
6	Modena	27	12	7	8	+14	+5.6	43
7	Juve Stabia	26	9	11	6	+0	+2.9	38
8	Cesena	27	11	5	11	-3	+5.2	38
9	Sudtirol	27	7	13	7	-1	-3.2	34
10	Padova	27	8	9	10	-5	-6.4	33
11	Empoli	27	7	10	10	-4	+1.9	31
12	Carrarese	26	7	9	10	-5	-7.1	30
13	Sampdoria	27	7	8	12	-8	+1.6	29
14	Avellino	26	7	8	11	-12	-14.5	29
15	Reggiana	26	6	8	12	-8	-2.6	26
16	Mantova	26	7	5	14	-15	-1.8	26
17	Spezia	26	6	7	13	-11	-1.6	25
18	Virtus Entella	27	5	10	12	-15	-9.7	25
19	Bari	27	5	10	12	-16	-14.5	25
20	Pescara	26	3	9	14	-21	-4.6	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monza	14	11	2	1	+16	+9.5	35
2	Palermo	14	10	3	1	+20	+5.8	33
3	Venezia	13	11	0	2	+18	+10.1	33
4	Catanzaro	13	7	5	1	+9	+0.6	26
5	Frosinone	12	7	3	2	+13	+2.3	24
6	Juve Stabia	13	6	6	1	+7	+3.2	24
7	Sampdoria	14	6	4	4	+2	+3.6	22
8	Modena	14	6	3	5	+7	-0.9	21
9	Virtus Entella	13	5	6	2	+4	-2.1	21
10	Carrarese	13	5	5	3	+6	+2.0	20
11	Sudtirol	13	5	4	4	+4	-2.9	19
12	Empoli	15	3	9	3	+4	+4.4	18
13	Cesena	13	5	3	5	+0	+5.1	18
14	Avellino	13	5	3	5	-4	-8.4	18
15	Reggiana	13	4	5	4	+1	-1.2	17
16	Mantova	13	5	2	6	-6	+0.0	17
17	Padova	13	3	6	4	-1	-5.4	15
18	Bari	13	3	5	5	-4	-8.5	14
19	Spezia	13	3	4	6	-7	-2.7	13
20	Pescara	13	2	5	6	-5	-3.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Frosinone	14	8	5	1	+11	+3.8	29
2	Venezia	14	6	6	2	+11	+12.3	24
3	Modena	13	6	4	3	+7	+6.5	22
4	Monza	13	6	4	3	+5	+2.7	22
5	Cesena	14	6	2	6	-3	+0.2	20
6	Palermo	12	4	6	2	+6	+2.6	18
7	Catanzaro	13	5	3	5	+1	-1.2	18
8	Padova	14	5	3	6	-4	-1.0	18
9	Sudtirol	14	2	9	3	-5	-0.2	15
10	Juve Stabia	13	3	5	5	-7	-0.3	14
11	Empoli	12	4	1	7	-8	-2.5	13
12	Spezia	13	3	3	7	-4	+1.1	12
13	Avellino	13	2	5	6	-8	-6.0	11
14	Bari	14	2	5	7	-12	-6.0	11
15	Carrarese	13	2	4	7	-11	-9.1	10
16	Reggiana	13	2	3	8	-9	-1.4	9
17	Mantova	13	2	3	8	-9	-1.8	9
18	Sampdoria	13	1	4	8	-10	-2.0	7
19	Pescara	13	1	4	8	-16	-1.0	7
20	Virtus Entella	14	0	4	10	-19	-7.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.