← Match Finder
Premier League
Referee: P Bankes
Leeds
T S U U U
0–1
Full-time
Man City
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Leeds Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 45%
26%
63%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
59%
63%
Both score Ø 58%
67%
48%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,4
2,1
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,49 xG 2,00
33% Possession 67%
14 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leeds 15. · Man City 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Arsenal 28 18 7 3 +35 +29.1 61
2 Man City 27 17 5 5 +31 +19.0 56
3 Aston Villa 28 15 6 7 +8 -4.2 51
4 Man United 27 13 9 5 +11 +14.0 48
5 Liverpool 28 14 6 8 +10 +12.7 48
6 Chelsea 27 12 9 6 +17 +14.9 45
7 Brentford 28 13 4 11 +4 +7.3 43
8 Everton 28 11 7 10 -1 -7.0 40
9 Bournemouth 28 9 12 7 -2 +0.8 39
10 Fulham 27 11 4 12 -3 -6.3 37
11 Sunderland 28 9 10 9 -5 -15.0 37
12 Newcastle 28 10 6 12 -2 +6.9 36
13 Crystal Palace 27 9 8 10 -3 +7.9 35
14 Brighton 27 8 10 9 +2 +1.9 34
15 Leeds 27 7 10 10 -9 -1.9 31
16 Tottenham 27 7 8 12 -4 -11.2 29
17 Nott'm Forest 27 7 6 14 -14 -8.6 27
18 West Ham 28 6 7 15 -20 -11.7 25
19 Burnley 28 4 7 17 -24 -31.7 19
20 Wolves 29 2 7 20 -31 -17.0 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leeds Man City
45′
A. Semenyo 0–1
R. Ait-Nouri
Half-time 0–1
L. Nmecha 🔁
↦ B. Aaronson
65′
68′
🔁 Savinho
↦ O. Marmoush
70′
🔁 T. Reijnders
↦ N. O'Reilly
W. Gnonto 🔁
↦ I. Gruev
75′
D. James 🔁
↦ J. Bogle
76′
85′
🟨 Gianluigi Donnarumma
J. Bijol 🔁
↦ J. Rodon
87′
J. Piroe 🔁
↦ J. Justin
87′
88′
🔁 N. Ake
↦ R. Cherki
92′
🟨 Savinho
92′
🟨 Rayan Aït-Nouri
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Leeds

5-4-1
26 K. Darlow G
2 J. Bogle D
24 J. Justin D
6 J. Rodon D
5 P. Struijk D
3 G. Gudmundsson D
18 A. Stach M
4 E. Ampadu M
44 I. Gruev M
11 B. Aaronson M
9 D. Calvert-Lewin F
Bench (9)
1 Lucas Perri
7 D. James
23 S. Bornauw
15 J. Bijol
14 L. Nmecha
8 S. Longstaff
10 J. Piroe
22 A. Tanaka
29 W. Gnonto

Coach: Daniel Farke

Man City

4-1-3-2
25 G. Donnarumma G
27 M. Nunes D
3 R. Dias D
15 M. Guehi D
21 R. Ait-Nouri D
16 Rodri M
10 R. Cherki M
20 B. Silva M
33 N. O'Reilly M
42 A. Semenyo F
7 O. Marmoush F
Bench (9)
1 J. Trafford
4 T. Reijnders
11 J. Doku
5 J. Stones
6 N. Ake
47 P. Foden
14 Nico
26 Savinho
45 A. Khusanov

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,00
U
4,25
B ✓
1,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,61
U2,5 ✓
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Bankes · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.