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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Exner
1–2
Full-time
Paderborn
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kaiserslautern Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 53%
48%
57%
Points per game
1,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
61%
61%
Both score Ø 61%
61%
61%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,39 xG 2,81
48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 2
5 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 24
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kaiserslautern 6. · Paderborn 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 23 14 4 5 +13 +8.9 46
2 Darmstadt 24 12 9 3 +17 +7.3 45
3 Elversberg 23 13 5 5 +17 +2.0 44
4 Paderborn 23 13 4 6 +12 +10.7 43
5 Hannover 23 12 6 5 +11 +11.2 42
6 Kaiserslautern 23 11 4 8 +6 +1.2 37
7 Hertha 23 9 7 7 +4 -6.3 34
8 Nurnberg 23 8 6 9 -2 +1.5 30
9 Karlsruhe 23 8 6 9 -9 -15.0 30
10 Bochum 24 7 8 9 +2 +5.5 29
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 24 8 4 12 -11 -2.3 28
12 Bielefeld 23 7 6 10 +4 +0.7 27
13 Dresden 24 6 7 11 -6 -0.1 25
14 Braunschweig 23 7 4 12 -14 -1.2 25
15 Holstein Kiel 23 6 6 11 -6 -12.9 24
16 Preußen Münster 23 5 8 10 -8 -7.9 23
17 Magdeburg 23 7 2 14 -10 +3.9 23
18 Greuther Furth 23 6 4 13 -20 -7.1 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kaiserslautern Paderborn
45′
C. Brackelmann 0–1
Half-time 0–1
L. Robinson 🔁
↦ A. Chernev
46′
M. Emreli 🔁
↦ O. Gibs
46′
56′
🟨 Tjark Lasse Scheller
65′
🔁 F. Bilbija
↦ R. Muller
65′
🔁 K. Okpala
↦ N. Batzner
K. Redondo 🔁
↦ Kim Ji-Soo
76′
M. Berisha 🔁
↦ S. Sahin
76′
S. Asta 🔁
↦ P. Joly
76′
76′
🔁 S. Tigges
↦ S. Marino
77′
🔁 M. Hansen
↦ S. Castaneda
84′
🟨 Filip Bilbija
Norman Bassette 🟨
90′
90′
F. Bilbija 0–2
1–2 K. Redondo
90′
92′
ℹ️ Kennedy Okpala
VAR: Penalty confirmed
97′
🔁 J. Sticker
↦ M. Baur
101′
🟨 Laurin Curda
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Kaiserslautern

3-4-2-1
1 J. Krahl G
31 L. Sirch D
5 Kim Ji-Soo D
16 A. Chernev D
26 P. Joly M
6 F. Kunze M
8 S. Sahin M
3 F. Kleinhansl M
15 N. Skytta F
43 O. Gibs
17 N. Bassette F
Bench (9)
25 S. Simoni
11 K. Redondo
13 E. Wekesser
37 L. Robinson
44 D. Hofmeister
20 M. Berisha
2 S. Asta
19 D. Hanslik
10 M. Emreli

Coach: Torsten Lieberknecht

Paderborn

3-4-2-1
41 D. Seimen G
25 T. Scheller D
20 F. Gotze D
4 C. Brackelmann D
17 L. Curda M
14 M. Baur M
5 S. Castaneda M
23 R. Obermair M
2 R. Muller F
9 N. Batzner F
30 S. Marino F
Bench (8)
1 M. Schubert
11 S. Michel
8 D. Kinsombi
27 S. Tigges
7 F. Bilbija
3 J. Sticker
22 M. Hansen
10 K. Okpala

Coach: Ralf Kettemann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,88
U
3,59
B ✓
2,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,25
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Exner · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.