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LaLiga2
Ponferradina
S T T S U
1–1
Full-time
Numancia
U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Numancia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
36%
18%
Both score Ø 50%
64%
36%
Average goals
2,5
1,9
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 7
10 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 12. · Numancia 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 12 10 1 1 +11 31
2 Fuenlabrada 11 6 2 3 +4 20
3 Almeria 11 5 4 2 +7 19
4 Zaragoza 11 5 4 2 +6 19
5 Huesca 11 6 1 4 +4 19
6 Las Palmas 12 5 3 4 +2 18
7 Vallecano 11 3 7 1 +3 16
8 Girona 11 5 1 5 +1 16
9 Elche 11 4 4 3 +1 16
10 Albacete 11 5 1 5 -6 16
11 Alcorcon 11 4 3 4 +1 15
12 Ponferradina 11 3 5 3 +2 14
13 Numancia 11 3 5 3 +1 14
14 Extremadura UD 11 3 4 4 +0 13
15 Tenerife 11 3 2 6 -2 11
16 Sp Gijon 11 2 5 4 -2 11
17 Mirandes 11 2 5 4 -7 11
18 Oviedo 11 2 4 5 -4 10
19 Lugo 11 1 7 3 -5 10
20 Santander 11 1 6 4 -3 9
21 Malaga 11 1 5 5 -5 8
22 La Coruna 11 1 5 5 -9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,04
U ✓
3,10
B
3,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,44
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.