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Championship
Referee: J Simpson
Blackpool
T S S T T
0–3
Full-time
Middlesbrough
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackpool Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Championship · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 30%
32%
28%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
47%
56%
Both score Ø 55%
42%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%
7 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackpool 17. · Middlesbrough 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 20 10 8 2 +14 38
2 Blackburn 20 12 0 8 +5 36
3 Sheffield United 19 10 5 4 +16 35
4 Norwich 20 9 5 6 +7 32
5 QPR 19 9 4 6 +5 31
6 Preston 20 8 7 5 +0 31
7 Watford 19 8 5 6 +4 29
8 Swansea 19 8 5 6 -1 29
9 Luton 18 7 7 4 +3 28
10 Millwall 19 8 4 7 +2 28
11 Birmingham 19 7 6 6 +4 27
12 Reading 19 8 2 9 -6 26
13 Cardiff 19 7 3 9 -6 24
14 Sunderland 18 6 5 7 +2 23
15 Bristol City 20 6 5 9 -2 23
16 Rotherham 19 5 7 7 -2 22
17 Blackpool 19 6 4 9 -5 22
18 Stoke 19 6 4 9 -5 22
19 Middlesbrough 18 5 6 7 +0 21
20 Hull 19 6 3 10 -14 21
21 West Brom 19 4 8 7 -2 20
22 Coventry 16 5 5 6 -2 20
23 Wigan 19 5 5 9 -9 20
24 Huddersfield 18 4 3 11 -8 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackpool Middlesbrough
James Husband 🟨
7′
15′
I. Jones 0–1
M. Forss
Dominic Thompson 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–1
Chris Maxwell 🟨
47′
48′
M. Forss 0–2
Theo Corbeanu 🟨
52′
R. Williams 🔁
↦ J. Husband
54′
63′
🔁 M. Crooks
↦ M. Forss
S. Lavery 🔁
↦ G. Madine
64′
C. Hamilton 🔁
↦ T. Corbeanu
64′
65′
C. Akpom 0–3
R. Giles
73′
🔁 Rodrigo Muniz
↦ C. Akpom
C. Wright 🔁
↦ C. Patino
79′
83′
🔁 P. Willis
↦ I. Jones
83′
🔁 M. Hoppe
↦ R. McGree
83′
🔁 A. Mowatt
↦ J. Howson
94′
🟨 Hayden Hackney
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Blackpool

4-3-3
1 C. Maxwell G
27 G. Ward D
21 M. Ekpiteta D
3 J. Husband D
23 D. Thompson D
9 J. Yates M
12 K. Dougall M
28 C. Patino M
16 S. Carey F
14 G. Madine F
25 T. Corbeanu F
Bench (7)
15 R. Williams
19 S. Lavery
22 C. Hamilton
24 C. Wright
26 I. Poveda-Ocampo
29 L. Garbutt
32 D. Grimshaw

Coach: M. Appleton

Middlesbrough

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Steffen G
14 T. Smith D
6 D. Fry D
26 D. Lenihan D
3 R. Giles D
16 J. Howson M
30 H. Hackney M
2 I. Jones M
29 C. Akpom M
8 R. McGree M
21 M. Forss F
Bench (7)
25 M. Crooks
9 Rodrigo Muniz
44 P. Willis
13 M. Hoppe
4 A. Mowatt
23 L. Roberts
17 P. McNair

Coach: M. Carrick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,20
U
3,41
B ✓
2,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Simpson · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.