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La Liga

Referee: Isidro Díaz de Mera

Ath Bilbao

T U T S T

3–0

Full-time

Valladolid

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 42%

46%

38%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

54%

46%

Both score Ø 38%

38%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

19 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 7. · Valladolid 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	11	1	1	+27	34
2	Real Madrid	13	10	2	1	+18	32
3	Ath Madrid	13	7	3	3	+8	24
4	Betis	13	7	3	3	+8	24
5	Osasuna	13	7	2	4	+3	23
6	Sociedad	13	7	2	4	+1	23
7	Ath Bilbao	13	6	3	4	+7	21
8	Vallecano	13	6	3	4	+4	21
9	Villarreal	13	5	3	5	+4	18
10	Valladolid	13	5	2	6	-5	17
11	Valencia	13	4	4	5	+4	16
12	Mallorca	13	4	4	5	-1	16
13	Girona	14	4	4	6	-2	16
14	Getafe	13	3	5	5	-7	14
15	Almeria	13	4	1	8	-7	13
16	Espanol	13	2	6	5	-5	12
17	Sevilla	13	2	5	6	-8	11
18	Celta	13	3	2	8	-12	11
19	Cadiz	13	2	5	6	-16	11
20	Elche	14	0	4	10	-21	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	1	0	+17	19
2	Betis	7	5	1	1	+7	16
3	Osasuna	7	5	0	2	+4	15
4	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+8	14
5	Vallecano	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Ath Bilbao	7	4	1	2	+5	13
7	Valladolid	7	4	1	2	+2	13
8	Almeria	6	4	0	2	+4	12
9	Girona	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Sociedad	7	3	2	2	-2	11
11	Valencia	7	3	1	3	+5	10
12	Villarreal	5	3	1	1	+5	10
13	Ath Madrid	6	2	2	2	+1	8
14	Celta	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Getafe	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Cadiz	7	1	3	3	-8	6
17	Mallorca	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Espanol	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Sevilla	6	0	3	3	-6	3
20	Elche	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+7	16
3	Barcelona	6	5	0	1	+10	15
4	Sociedad	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Mallorca	7	3	2	2	+1	11
6	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	+2	8
7	Betis	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-1	8
9	Villarreal	8	2	2	4	-1	8
10	Osasuna	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Sevilla	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Getafe	6	2	2	2	-3	8
13	Espanol	7	1	4	2	-1	7
14	Valencia	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Girona	7	1	2	4	-3	5
16	Cadiz	6	1	2	3	-8	5
17	Valladolid	6	1	1	4	-7	4
18	Celta	6	1	0	5	-11	3
19	Elche	7	0	2	5	-12	2
20	Almeria	7	0	1	6	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.