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League Cup
Referee: T Nield
Stevenage
S S S
1–1
Full-time
Charlton
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stevenage Charlton
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — League Cup · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

29% Possession 71%
17 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stevenage 8. · Charlton 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bristol City 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Blackburn 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Sheffield Weds 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Crawley Town 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Newport County 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Derby 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Exeter City 2 1 1 0 +7 4
10 Lincoln 2 1 1 0 +3 4
11 Gillingham 2 1 1 0 +2 4
12 Charlton 2 1 1 0 +1 4
13 Morecambe 2 1 1 0 +1 4
14 Stockport County 2 1 1 0 +1 4
15 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Nott'm Forest 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Southampton 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Brighton 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Preston 2 1 0 1 +2 3
20 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 +2 3
21 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Brentford 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Bolton 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Grimsby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Walsall 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 Peterborough 2 1 0 1 +1 3
28 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Newcastle 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Burnley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Everton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Shrewsbury 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Bradford 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 Fleetwood Town 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 West Brom 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Wycombe 2 1 0 1 -1 3
38 Rochdale 2 1 0 1 -1 3
39 Forest Green 2 1 0 1 -1 3
40 Barnsley 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 Colchester 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Cambridge United 2 1 0 1 -2 3
43 Norwich 2 0 2 0 +0 2
44 Barrow 2 0 2 0 +0 2
45 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Swansea 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Accrington ST 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Bournemouth 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Blackpool 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Stoke 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Leicester 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Tranmere 2 0 1 1 -1 1
54 Oxford 2 0 1 1 -2 1
55 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Luton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Mansfield Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Ipswich 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Wigan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Sutton Utd 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Harrogate Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Plymouth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Watford 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Fulham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 Coventry 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Doncaster 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Salford City 1 0 0 1 -4 0
83 Crewe 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 Hartlepool 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stevenage Charlton
21′
🟨 Richard Chin
1–0 L. Norris ⚽
22′
Arthur Read 🟨
25′
Danny Rose 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 C. Aneke
↦ J. Stockley
61′
🔁 C. Kirk
↦ A. Morgan
62′
🔁 C. Blackett-Taylor
↦ J. Payne
62′
🔁 S. Sessegnon
↦ R. Chin
S. Earley 🔁
↦ M. Clark
66′
D. Amoo 🔁
↦ L. Norris
75′
77′
🔁 J. Forster-Caskey
↦ G. Dobson
D. Campbell 🔁
↦ A. Read
84′
87′
⚽ C. Aneke 1–1
J. Rak-Sakyi
95′
🟨 Sean Clare
96′
🟨 Samuel Lavelle
2–1 D. Rose ⚽
121′
122′
⚽ S. Clare 2–2
3–2 D. Campbell ⚽
123′
124′
⚽ J. Forster-Caskey 3–3
4–3 D. Sweeney ⚽
125′
5–3 M. Bostwick ⚽
126′
127′
⚽ J. Rak-Sakyi 5–4
128′
⚽ C. Aneke 5–5
J. Taylor ❌
penalty missed
129′
130′
⚽ S. Fraser 5–6
Full-time 5–6

Line-ups

Stevenage

5-3-2
1 A. Chapman G
2 L. James-Wildin D
6 D. Sweeney D
18 M. Bostwick D
5 C. Piergianni D
3 M. Clark D
8 J. Taylor M
15 T. Vancooten M
16 A. Read M
32 D. Rose F
9 L. Norris F
Bench (5)
20 S. Earley
24 D. Amoo
10 D. Campbell
19 J. Reid
12 T. Ashby-Hammond

Coach: S. Evans

Charlton

4-4-2
1 J. Wollacott G
28 S. Clare D
5 S. Lavelle D
24 R. Inniss D
36 R. Chin D
17 J. Rak-Sakyi M
21 S. Fraser M
4 G. Dobson M
19 J. Payne M
9 J. Stockley F
10 A. Morgan F
Bench (9)
22 C. Aneke
14 C. Kirk
23 C. Blackett-Taylor
2 S. Sessegnon
8 J. Forster-Caskey
43 T. Campbell
27 D. Elerewe
13 C. MacGillivray
32 A. Henry

Coach: B. Garner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Nield · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.