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LaLiga2
Castellon
T S U U T
0–2
Full-time
Ponferradina
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
1,8
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 33%
29%
37%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
39%
34%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
45%
Average goals
2,1
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

25 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 7
8 Corners 5
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 18. · Ponferradina 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 39 23 9 7 +41 78
2 Mallorca 38 21 9 8 +22 72
3 Almeria 38 19 9 10 +19 66
4 Leganes 38 18 9 11 +10 63
5 Sp Gijon 38 16 13 9 +11 61
6 Girona 38 17 10 11 +8 61
7 Vallecano 38 16 10 12 +7 58
8 Ponferradina 38 14 11 13 -2 53
9 Mirandes 38 14 10 14 +0 52
10 Fuenlabrada 38 11 17 10 +0 50
11 Las Palmas 38 12 14 12 -6 50
12 Malaga 38 13 11 14 -10 50
13 Oviedo 38 10 17 11 +1 47
14 Tenerife 38 12 11 15 -1 47
15 Cartagena 39 11 12 16 -8 45
16 Alcorcon 38 11 10 17 -7 43
17 Zaragoza 38 10 12 16 -8 42
18 Castellon 38 11 8 19 -9 41
19 Logrones 38 10 11 17 -21 41
20 Sabadell 38 9 13 16 -8 40
21 Lugo 38 8 13 17 -18 37
22 Albacete 38 9 9 20 -21 36

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,17
U
3,09
B ✓
3,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,50
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.