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LaLiga2
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
Sp Gijon
S T T S U
3–1
Full-time
Villarreal B
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Villarreal B
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
38%
63%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 10
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 8. · Villarreal B 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 8 5 3 0 +6 18
2 Las Palmas 8 4 4 0 +9 16
3 Cartagena 8 5 1 2 +4 16
4 Eibar 8 4 2 2 +4 14
5 Albacete 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Andorra 8 4 2 2 +1 14
7 Granada 8 4 1 3 +1 13
8 Sp Gijon 8 3 3 2 +3 12
9 Burgos 8 2 6 0 +2 12
10 Villarreal B 8 3 3 2 +1 12
11 Huesca 8 3 2 3 +2 11
12 Levante 8 2 4 2 +2 10
13 Ponferradina 8 3 1 4 -3 10
14 Ibiza 8 3 1 4 -4 10
15 Tenerife 8 2 3 3 -1 9
16 Zaragoza 8 2 3 3 -2 9
17 Oviedo 8 2 3 3 -2 9
18 Lugo 8 2 2 4 -3 8
19 Mirandes 8 1 3 4 -5 6
20 Santander 8 1 2 5 -5 5
21 Malaga 8 1 2 5 -7 5
22 Leganes 8 1 1 6 -5 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Villarreal B
1–0 Aitor García
Christian Rivera
8′
2–0 G. Zarfino
Pablo Ínsua
25′
Dani Queipo 🔁
↦ Aitor García
37′
42′
🟨 Miguel Angel Leal
Pol Valentín 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Carlo Adriano
↦ Rodri Alonso
46′
🔁 Carlos Romero
↦ Dani Tasende
46′
🔁 Antonio Pacheco
↦ Hugo Pérez
55′
Antonio Pacheco 2–1
Migue Leal
Jony 🔁
↦ Cristo González
60′
Cote 🔁
↦ Diego Sánchez
60′
3–1 Jony
74′
78′
🔁 Sergio Carreira
↦ Diego Collado
78′
🔁 T. Ojeda
↦ Migue Leal
A. Bamba 🔁
↦ U. Đurđević
79′
Nacho Martín 🔁
↦ Pol Valentín
79′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-4-2
13 Diego Mariño G
22 Pol Valentín D
24 C. Izquierdoz D
4 Pablo Ínsua D
32 Diego Sánchez D
19 J. Otero M
18 G. Zarfino M
17 Christian Rivera M
7 Aitor García M
23 U. Đurđević F
12 Cristo González F
Bench (10)
30 Dani Queipo
9 Jony
3 Cote
15 A. Bamba
33 Nacho Martín
2 Guille Rosas
11 Víctor Campuzano
21 U. Milovanović
20 J. Carrillo
1 Iván Cuéllar

Coach: Abelardo

Villarreal B

5-4-1
13 Iker Álvarez G
2 Migue Leal D
28 Hugo Pérez D
23 M. Fall D
27 Abraham del Moral D
3 Dani Tasende D
7 Diego Collado M
6 Alberto del Moral M
26 Rodri Alonso M
14 H. Hassan M
11 Fer Niño F
Bench (10)
8 Carlo Adriano
18 Carlos Romero
20 Antonio Pacheco
5 Sergio Carreira
32 T. Ojeda
34 Alejandro Jiménez
22 T. Geralnik
15 N. Iosifov
10 Javi Ontiveros
25 Gianni

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,85
U
3,38
B
4,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.