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Eredivisie

Referee: M van den Kerkhof

Groningen

U T S T T

2–3

Full-time

Waalwijk

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 69%

63%

75%

Average goals

3,0

3,6

Scored

1,0

2,1

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%

15 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 9

1 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 12. · Waalwijk 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	2	0	+11	20
2	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+17	19
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	0	2	+15	18
4	Feyenoord	8	5	2	1	+11	17
5	Twente	7	5	1	1	+11	16
6	Utrecht	8	3	3	2	+0	12
7	Sparta Rotterdam	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Waalwijk	8	2	4	2	+5	10
9	Heerenveen	7	2	4	1	+0	10
10	Nijmegen	8	1	6	1	+2	9
11	Excelsior	8	3	0	5	-9	9
12	Groningen	8	2	2	4	-8	8
13	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	1	5	-5	7
14	For Sittard	8	2	1	5	-6	7
15	Cambuur	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Vitesse	8	1	2	5	-12	5
17	FC Emmen	8	1	2	5	-12	5
18	Volendam	8	1	2	5	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Twente	4	4	0	0	+11	12
3	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+14	10
4	Waalwijk	5	2	2	1	+6	8
5	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+7	7
7	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	0	2	+3	6
8	For Sittard	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	FC Emmen	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Nijmegen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	-1	3
16	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Volendam	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Vitesse	4	0	2	2	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Feyenoord	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	PSV Eindhoven	4	2	0	2	+4	6
6	Nijmegen	4	1	3	0	+3	6
7	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-2	5
9	Twente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Cambuur	4	1	1	2	-5	4
12	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-5	4
13	Vitesse	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Excelsior	4	1	0	3	-6	3
15	Waalwijk	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Volendam	5	0	2	3	-12	2
17	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	FC Emmen	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.