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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Lasyk
Jagiellonia
S U S U S
1–1
Full-time
Wisla Plock
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Wisla Plock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 46%
36%
55%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
55%
73%
Both score Ø 64%
64%
64%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%
16 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Jagiellonia 8. · Wisla Plock 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 11 7 2 2 +10 23
2 Pogon Szczecin 12 6 3 3 +4 21
3 Legia 11 6 3 2 +1 21
4 Wisla Plock 11 6 2 3 +10 20
5 Stal Mielec 12 6 1 5 -1 19
6 Cracovia 11 5 2 4 +5 17
7 Widzew Lodz 11 5 2 4 +4 17
8 Jagiellonia 11 4 4 3 +6 16
9 Zaglebie 11 4 4 3 -2 16
10 Lech Poznan 10 4 3 3 +2 15
11 Warta Poznan 11 4 2 5 -2 14
12 Radomiak Radom 11 4 2 5 -4 14
13 Gornik Zabrze 10 3 4 3 +0 13
14 Slask Wroclaw 11 3 4 4 -6 13
15 Piast Gliwice 11 3 2 6 -2 11
16 Korona Kielce 11 3 2 6 -4 11
17 Legnica 10 1 2 7 -9 5
18 Lechia Gdansk 10 1 2 7 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jagiellonia Wisla Plock
15′
🟨 Anton Krivotsyuk
Bogdan Țîru 🟨
18′
34′
Davo 0–1
D. Rasak
Half-time 0–1
55′
🟨 Jakub Rzeźniczak
61′
🔁 M. Lewandowski
↦ Ł. Sekulski
62′
🔁 P. Tomasik
↦ A. Krivotsyuk
1–1 Jesús Imaz
65′
M. Pospíšil 🔁
↦ F. Černych
66′
B. Wdowik 🔁
↦ J. Lewicki
66′
73′
🔁 M. Kvocera
↦ R. Wolski
79′
🔁 M. Kolar
↦ Davo
80′
🔁 D. Warchoł
↦ D. Rasak
M. Kowalski 🔁
↦ Nené
83′
Israel Puerto 🟨
87′
Juan Cámara 🔁
↦ Marc Gual
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

5-4-1
1 Z. Alomerović G
5 B. Nastić D
25 B. Țîru D
4 Israel Puerto D
32 M. Matysik D
36 J. Lewicki D
28 Marc Gual M
6 T. Romanczuk M
8 Nené M
10 F. Černych M
11 Jesús Imaz F
Bench (9)
26 M. Pospíšil
27 B. Wdowik
60 M. Kowalski
7 Juan Cámara
22 O. Wojciechowski
77 W. Łaski
74 A. Trubeha
34 M. Bortniczuk
50 S. Abramowicz

Coach: M. Stolarczyk

Wisla Plock

4-1-4-1
1 K. Kamiński G
19 M. Šulek D
25 J. Rzeźniczak D
4 A. Chrzanowski D
5 A. Krivotsyuk D
8 D. Furman M
11 Davo M
6 D. Rasak M
10 R. Wolski M
14 M. Szwoch M
20 Ł. Sekulski F
Bench (9)
17 M. Lewandowski
77 P. Tomasik
27 M. Kvocera
24 M. Kolar
95 D. Warchoł
22 M. Gono
7 R. Cielemęcki
23 F. Lesniak
69 B. Gradecki

Coach: P. Staňo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Lasyk · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.