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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Bacher
Regensburg
T U T S T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Regensburg Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
30%
10%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
40%
70%
Both score Ø 45%
0%
90%
Average goals
2,2
3,1
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 2
8 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Regensburg 12. · Greuther Furth 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 10 8 0 2 +10 24
2 Darmstadt 10 6 3 1 +8 21
3 Paderborn 10 6 1 3 +14 19
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 10 5 2 3 +7 17
5 Heidenheim 10 4 5 1 +7 17
6 Hannover 10 5 2 3 +4 17
7 Kaiserslautern 10 3 6 1 +3 15
8 Karlsruhe 10 4 2 4 +4 14
9 Holstein Kiel 10 3 4 3 -3 13
10 Hansa Rostock 10 4 1 5 -4 13
11 St Pauli 10 2 5 3 -1 11
12 Regensburg 10 3 2 5 -8 11
13 Magdeburg 10 3 1 6 -9 10
14 Nurnberg 10 3 1 6 -9 10
15 Sandhausen 10 2 3 5 -3 9
16 Braunschweig 10 2 3 5 -9 9
17 Greuther Furth 10 1 5 4 -5 8
18 Bielefeld 10 2 2 6 -6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Regensburg Greuther Furth
31′
🟨 Simon Asta
34′
D. Michalski 0–1
1–1 K. Caliskaner
42′
Benedikt Saller 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 K. Caliskaner
C. Makridis
62′
P. Owusu 🔁
↦ K. Caliskaner
67′
67′
🔁 D. Abiama
↦ M. Christiansen
67′
🔁 T. Tillman
↦ J. Dudziak
67′
🔁 A. Sieb
↦ R. Ache
74′
S. Asta 2–2
J. Green
76′
🟨 Sebastian Griesbeck
N. Shipnoski 🔁
↦ C. Makridis
82′
D. Vizinger 🔁
↦ C. Viet
83′
94′
🟨 Marco John
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Regensburg

4-2-3-1
1 D. Stojanovic G
6 B. Saller D
33 J. Elvedi D
24 S. Kennedy D
27 L. Günther D
8 M. Thalhammer M
5 B. Gimber M
30 C. Viet M
10 K. Caliskaner M
26 C. Makridis M
19 A. Albers F
Bench (9)
9 P. Owusu
7 N. Shipnoski
12 D. Vizinger
29 J. Mees
14 B. Idrizi
32 A. Weidinger
18 A. Yildirim
11 K. Faber
28 S. Nachreiner

Coach: M. Selimbegovic

Greuther Furth

4-2-3-1
1 A. Linde G
2 S. Asta D
4 D. Michalski D
5 O. Haddadi D
24 M. John D
13 M. Christiansen M
22 S. Griesbeck M
28 J. Dudziak M
10 B. Hrgota M
37 J. Green M
39 R. Ache F
Bench (9)
11 D. Abiama
21 T. Tillman
30 A. Sieb
27 L. Itter
3 O. Mhamdi
9 Afimico Pululu
25 L. Schaffran
20 T. Raschl
31 D. Angleberger

Coach: M. Schneider

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,12
U ✓
3,33
B
2,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bacher · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.