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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Stieler
Bielefeld
S U T S T
1–2
Full-time
Karlsruhe
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Karlsruhe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
70%
40%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 18. · Karlsruhe 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 10 8 0 2 +10 24
2 Darmstadt 10 6 3 1 +8 21
3 Paderborn 10 6 1 3 +14 19
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 10 5 2 3 +7 17
5 Heidenheim 10 4 5 1 +7 17
6 Hannover 10 5 2 3 +4 17
7 Kaiserslautern 10 3 6 1 +3 15
8 Karlsruhe 10 4 2 4 +4 14
9 Holstein Kiel 10 3 4 3 -3 13
10 Hansa Rostock 10 4 1 5 -4 13
11 St Pauli 10 2 5 3 -1 11
12 Regensburg 10 3 2 5 -8 11
13 Magdeburg 10 3 1 6 -9 10
14 Nurnberg 10 3 1 6 -9 10
15 Sandhausen 10 2 3 5 -3 9
16 Braunschweig 10 2 3 5 -9 9
17 Greuther Furth 10 1 5 4 -5 8
18 Bielefeld 10 2 2 6 -6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld Karlsruhe
C. Gebauer 🔁
↦ F. Jäkel
40′
43′
F. Schleusener 0–1
P. Nebel
Half-time 0–1
G. Bello 🔁
↦ B. Oczipka
46′
1–1 J. Serra
J. Consbruch
52′
54′
M. Wanitzek 1–2
J. Gondorf
M. Rzatkowski 🔁
↦ J. Consbruch
63′
71′
🔁 M. Kaufmann
↦ M. Batmaz
M. Okugawa 🔁
↦ B. Lasme
76′
M. Klimowicz 🔁
↦ B. Kanurić
76′
80′
🔁 L. Jensen
↦ P. Heise
80′
🔁 M. Thiede
↦ P. Nebel
90′
🔁 S. Rapp
↦ F. Schleusener
91′
🔁 F. Ballas
↦ M. Wanitzek
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-2-3-1
33 M. Fraisl G
3 Guilherme Ramos D
6 O. Hüsing D
4 F. Jäkel D
5 B. Oczipka D
37 B. Kanurić M
39 S. Vasiliadis M
10 B. Lasme M
21 R. Hack M
14 J. Consbruch M
23 J. Serra F
Bench (9)
7 C. Gebauer
24 G. Bello
16 M. Rzatkowski
11 M. Okugawa
8 M. Klimowicz
17 B. İnce
35 A. Schulz
19 M. Prietl
13 I. Lepinjica

Coach: D. Scherning

Karlsruhe

4-3-1-2
35 M. Gersbeck G
2 S. Jung D
15 S. Ambrosius D
28 M. Franke D
16 P. Heise D
8 J. Gondorf M
38 T. Breithaupt M
10 M. Wanitzek M
26 P. Nebel M
24 F. Schleusener F
9 M. Batmaz F
Bench (9)
14 M. Kaufmann
6 L. Jensen
21 M. Thiede
4 F. Ballas
7 S. Rapp
22 C. Kobald
36 K. Arase
18 K. Jakob
1 K. Eisele

Coach: C. Eichner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,26
U
3,59
B ✓
2,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.