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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Antwerp
S S S S T
2–0
Full-time
St Truiden
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 60%
90%
30%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,7
1,9
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%
11 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
5 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Antwerp 1. · St Truiden 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 10 9 0 1 +13 27
2 Genk 9 8 1 0 +18 25
3 Club Brugge 10 7 1 2 +13 22
4 St. Gilloise 8 6 1 1 +6 19
5 Charleroi 11 6 0 5 +1 18
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10 5 2 3 +0 17
7 Anderlecht 11 5 1 5 +7 16
8 St Truiden 10 3 4 3 +1 13
9 Kortrijk 11 4 1 6 -7 13
10 Standard 8 4 0 4 -2 12
11 Mechelen 11 3 2 6 -3 11
12 Gent 7 3 1 3 +2 10
13 Oostende 10 3 1 6 -4 10
14 Westerlo 7 3 0 4 -3 9
15 Seraing 10 3 0 7 -8 9
16 Seraing United 10 3 0 7 -8 9
17 Eupen 11 3 0 8 -9 9
18 Waregem 11 2 2 7 -11 8
19 Cercle Brugge 7 1 3 3 -6 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp St Truiden
1–0 P. Gerkens
T. Alderweireld
8′
Arbnor Muja 🟨
22′
38′
ℹ️ Eric Bocat
VAR: Card upgrade
39′
🟥 Robert Bauer
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Koita
↦ E. Bocat
54′
🟨 Christian Brüls
59′
🟨 Mory Konate
R. Nainggolan 🔁
↦ A. Muja
63′
R. De Laet 🔁
↦ J. Ekkelenkamp
63′
74′
🔁 D. Hayashi
↦ G. Bruno
76′
🟨 Wolke Janssens
C. Scott 🔁
↦ A. Yusuf
86′
87′
🔁 M. Smets
↦ S. Okazaki
M. Frey 🔁
↦ V. Janssen
92′
2–0 C. Scott
92′
Christopher Scott ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
96′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butez G
34 J. Bataille D
23 T. Alderweireld D
51 W. Pacho D
21 S. Vines D
16 P. Gerkens M
8 A. Yusuf M
11 A. Muja M
24 J. Ekkelenkamp M
14 C. Stengs M
18 V. Janssen F
Bench (7)
4 R. Nainggolan
2 R. De Laet
32 C. Scott
99 M. Frey
55 A. Valencia
26 O. De Wolf
61 Dinis Almeida

Coach: M. van Bommel

St Truiden

5-3-2
21 D. Schmidt G
4 D. Hashioka D
22 W. Janssens D
37 T. Leistner D
3 A. Al-Dakhil D
77 E. Bocat D
44 C. Brüls M
20 R. Bauer M
6 M. Konaté M
91 G. Bruno F
30 S. Okazaki F
Bench (7)
7 A. Koita
8 D. Hayashi
16 M. Smets
19 S. Van Dessel
12 J. Coppens
26 Jorge Teixeira
10 S. Kagawa

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,94
U
3,41
B
3,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.