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LaLiga2
Referee: José López
Andorra
U S U S U
0–1
Full-time
Burgos
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Andorra Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,8
0,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
22%
11%
Both score Ø 22%
44%
0%
Average goals
2,1
0,6
Scored
1,1
0,6
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

83% Possession 17%
20 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Andorra 8. · Burgos 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 9 5 3 1 +3 18
2 Las Palmas 9 4 5 0 +9 17
3 Cartagena 9 5 1 3 +3 16
4 Sp Gijon 9 4 3 2 +5 15
5 Burgos 9 3 6 0 +5 15
6 Eibar 9 4 3 2 +4 15
7 Albacete 9 4 3 2 +2 15
8 Andorra 9 4 3 2 +1 15
9 Granada 9 4 2 3 +1 14
10 Villarreal B 10 3 4 3 -1 13
11 Huesca 9 3 3 3 +2 12
12 Ponferradina 10 3 3 4 -3 12
13 Ibiza 9 3 2 4 -4 11
14 Levante 9 2 4 3 +1 10
15 Tenerife 9 2 4 3 -1 10
16 Zaragoza 9 2 4 3 -2 10
17 Oviedo 9 2 4 3 -2 10
18 Lugo 9 2 3 4 -3 9
19 Santander 9 2 2 5 -4 8
20 Leganes 9 2 1 6 -4 7
21 Mirandes 9 1 4 4 -5 7
22 Malaga 9 1 3 5 -7 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Andorra Burgos
45′
🟨 Mourad El Ghezouani
Half-time 0–0
Pau Casadesús 🟨
48′
50′
Álex Bermejo 0–1
José Matos
S. Bakış 🔁
↦ Carlos Martínez
60′
Adrià Altimira 🔁
↦ Pau Casadesús
60′
Hector Hevel 🟨
63′
Germán Valera 🔁
↦ M. Bundu
67′
Jacobo González 🔁
↦ C. Albanis
67′
67′
🔁 Pablo Valcarce
↦ Curro Sánchez
67′
🔁 Juan Hernández
↦ Álex Bermejo
67′
🔁 Gaspar Campos
↦ Mourad
74′
🔁 Miguel Atienza
↦ Miki Muñoz
Marc Fernández 🔁
↦ Mika Màrmol
79′
89′
🔁 Jesús Areso
↦ José Matos
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Andorra

4-3-3
1 N. Ratti G
27 Pau Casadesús D
5 Adrià Vilanova D
3 Mika Màrmol D
26 Diego Pampín D
7 H. Hevel M
16 Jandro Orellana M
22 Iván Gil M
18 M. Bundu F
10 Carlos Martínez F
19 C. Albanis F
Bench (12)
12 S. Bakış
2 Adrià Altimira
17 Germán Valera
9 Jacobo González
11 Marc Fernández
23 Diego Alende
21 Rubén Bover
14 Sergio Molina
20 Martí Vilà
30 Marc Vidal
6 Marc Aguado
36 Moha

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 José Caro G
2 Borja González D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
4 Míchel Zabaco D
23 José Matos D
14 Unai Elgezabal M
6 Raúl Navarro M
16 Curro Sánchez M
22 Miki Muñoz M
10 Álex Bermejo M
9 Mourad F
Bench (8)
8 Pablo Valcarce
15 Juan Hernández
11 Gaspar Campos
5 Miguel Atienza
19 Jesús Areso
21 Saúl Berjón
1 Dani Barrio
7 Juan Artola

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,45
U
2,99
B ✓
3,10
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,49
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José López · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.