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NM-cupen
Referee: S Hauge
Viking
T S U T T
1–0
Full-time
Kristiansund
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viking Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,5
4,5
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — NM-cupen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
4,5
Scored
4,0
3,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Viking 20. · Kristiansund 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 3 3 0 0 +18 9
2 Stabaek 3 3 0 0 +10 9
3 Start 3 3 0 0 +10 9
4 Ranheim 3 3 0 0 +10 9
5 Bodo/Glimt 3 3 0 0 +10 9
6 Lillestrom 3 3 0 0 +9 9
7 Rosenborg 3 3 0 0 +9 9
8 Sandefjord 3 3 0 0 +8 9
9 Odd 3 3 0 0 +7 9
10 Molde 3 3 0 0 +7 9
11 Bryne 3 3 0 0 +5 9
12 Haugesund 3 3 0 0 +4 9
13 Tromso 3 2 1 0 +11 7
14 Ham-Kam 3 2 1 0 +9 7
15 Sogndal 3 2 1 0 +8 7
16 Skeid 3 2 1 0 +5 7
17 KFUM Oslo 3 2 1 0 +5 7
18 Kjelsås 3 2 1 0 +2 7
19 Jerv 3 2 0 1 +7 6
20 Viking 2 2 0 0 +6 6
21 Kristiansund 2 2 0 0 +5 6
22 Aalesund 3 2 0 1 +5 6
23 Valerenga 3 2 0 1 +4 6
24 Tromsdalen Uil 3 2 0 1 +3 6
25 Sandnes ULF 3 2 0 1 +2 6
26 Ull/Kisa 3 2 0 1 +2 6
27 Eidsvold 3 2 0 1 -1 6
28 Moss 3 2 0 1 -1 6
29 Fredrikstad 3 2 0 1 -4 6
30 Stjørdals-Blink 2 1 1 0 +3 4
31 Byåsen 3 1 1 1 +0 4
32 Gjøvik-Lyn 3 1 1 1 -6 4
33 Sarpsborg 08 2 1 0 1 +6 3
34 Flekkerøy 2 1 0 1 +5 3
35 Stromsgodset 2 1 0 1 +3 3
36 Mjondalen 2 1 0 1 +3 3
37 Øygarden 1 1 0 0 +3 3
38 Brattvåg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
39 Vidar 2 1 0 1 +2 3
40 hodd 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Brumunddal 2 1 0 1 +1 3
42 Egersund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Sotra 2 1 0 1 +1 3
44 Ullern 2 1 0 1 +1 3
45 Nardo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
46 Arendal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Kongsvinger 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Strindheim 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Levanger 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Alta 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Kvik Halden 2 1 0 1 +0 3
52 Frigg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
53 Elverum 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 Notodden 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 Bjarg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
56 Skjervøy 2 1 0 1 -2 3
57 Flint 2 1 0 1 -3 3
58 Os 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Harstad 2 1 0 1 -4 3
60 Træff 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Mjølner 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Frøya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Raufoss 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Follo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Ørn Horten 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Vard 2 0 1 1 -1 1
67 Junkeren 2 0 1 1 -1 1
68 Fana 2 0 1 1 -1 1
69 Grorud 2 0 1 1 -1 1
70 Fram 2 0 1 1 -1 1
71 Asane 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Gjelleråsen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Lyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Pors Grenland 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Sprint-Jeløy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Ottestad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Bærum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Trygg/Lade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Senja 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Lokomotiv Oslo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Eik-Tønsberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Lørenskog 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Åssiden IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Fyllingsdalen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Fløya 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Nordstrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Kolstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Finnsnes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Sola 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Djerv 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Melhus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Gneist 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Strommen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Herd 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Bossekop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Brodd 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Tiller 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Orkla 1 0 0 1 -3 0
100 Bremnes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 Halsen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Surnadal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Vardeneset 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Skjetten 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Asker 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Fjøra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 Gamle Oslo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
108 Åskollen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
109 Førde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
110 Kolbu / KK 1 0 0 1 -4 0
111 Hønefoss 1 0 0 1 -4 0
112 Oppsal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
113 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -4 0
114 Staal Jørpeland 1 0 0 1 -4 0
115 Rana 1 0 0 1 -4 0
116 Hei 1 0 0 1 -5 0
117 Rosseland 1 0 0 1 -5 0
118 Floro 1 0 0 1 -5 0
119 Verdal 1 0 0 1 -6 0
120 Vindbjart 1 0 0 1 -6 0
121 Randesund 1 0 0 1 -6 0
122 Dahle 1 0 0 1 -7 0
123 Eidsvold IF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
124 Voss 1 0 0 1 -7 0
125 Furnes 1 0 0 1 -7 0
126 Express 1 0 0 1 -7 0
127 Østsiden 1 0 0 1 -7 0
128 Ishavsbyen 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viking Kristiansund
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 B. Willumsson
↦ A. Diop
46′
🔁 S. Kartum
↦ A. Coly
46′
🔁 S. Kvile
↦ L. Kalludra
51′
🟨 B. D. Willumsson
D. Brekalo 🟨
51′
58′
🟨 D. Agbo
D. Karlsbakk 🔁
↦ S. Svendsen
65′
F. Torsteinbø 🔁
↦ N. Skyttä
65′
G. Stensness 🔁
↦ D. Diop
65′
M. Solbakken 🔁
↦ K. Løkberg
65′
69′
🟨 M. Williamsen
71′
🟨 S. Kartum
K. Kabran 🔁
↦ N. Sandberg
81′
81′
🔁 S. Nilsen
↦ P. Chrupałła
H. Haugen 🔁
↦ S. Bjørshol
91′
91′
🔁 H. Bruseth
↦ H. Gjesdal
96′
🟨 T. Gjertsen
H. J. Haugen 🟨
98′
99′
🔁 M. Rakneberg
↦ T. Gjertsen
1–0 D. Brekalo
105′
Y. de Lanlay 🟨
112′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Viking

P. Gunnarsson
V. Vevatne
S. Bjørshol
D. Brekalo
D. Diop
K. Løkberg
Z. Tripić
N. Sandberg
N. Skyttä
Y. de Lanlay
S. Svendsen
Bench (9)
D. Karlsbakk
F. Torsteinbø
G. Stensness
M. Solbakken
K. Kabran
H. Haugen
A. Østbø
R. Vikstøl
H. Tangen

Coach: B. Aarsheim

Kristiansund

S. McDermott
A. Askar
H. Gjesdal
A. Coly
M. Williamsen
L. Kalludra
A. Diop
D. Agbo
B. Bye
T. Gjertsen
P. Chrupałła
Bench (9)
B. Willumsson
S. Kartum
S. Kvile
S. Nilsen
H. Bruseth
M. Rakneberg
A. Sæther
D. Ulvestad
O. Sivertsen

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Hauge · 97 kamper i vår database

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.