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DBU Pokalen
Referee: S Rasmussen
0–3
Full-time
Aarhus
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AB Copenhagen Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,5
3,3
Scored
3,0
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
This season — DBU Pokalen · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,5
8,0
Scored
3,0
8,0
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+8,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match AB Copenhagen 16. · Aarhus 24. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middelfart 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Aarhus Fremad 2 2 0 0 +11 6
3 Hørsholm-Usserød 2 2 0 0 +9 6
4 Vendsyssel FF 2 2 0 0 +7 6
5 Vejle 2 2 0 0 +7 6
6 Ishøj 2 2 0 0 +7 6
7 Sonderjyske 2 2 0 0 +7 6
8 Vanløse 2 2 0 0 +6 6
9 Nordsjaelland 2 2 0 0 +6 6
10 Naestved 3 2 0 1 +5 6
11 Thisted FC 2 2 0 0 +5 6
12 Roskilde 2 2 0 0 +5 6
13 FA 2000 2 2 0 0 +5 6
14 Hobro 2 2 0 0 +5 6
15 FC Helsingor 2 2 0 0 +4 6
16 AB Copenhagen 2 2 0 0 +3 6
17 Fremad Amager 2 2 0 0 +2 6
18 Jammerbugt 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 BSF 3 2 0 1 +1 6
20 HB Koge 2 1 1 0 +4 4
21 Brabrand 2 1 1 0 +1 4
22 Nykobing FC 2 1 1 0 +1 4
23 Kerteminde 2 1 1 0 +1 4
24 Aarhus 1 1 0 0 +8 3
25 Ringkøbing 2 1 0 1 +7 3
26 Fredericia 2 1 0 1 +7 3
27 Viborg 1 1 0 0 +7 3
28 Tårnby FF 2 1 0 1 +3 3
29 Silkeborg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
30 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 +2 3
31 Skive 2 1 0 1 +2 3
32 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Frem 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Karlslunde 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 FC Nakskov 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Kastrup 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Hedensted 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Kolding IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Allerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Culpa 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Frederikshavn 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 Jyllinge 2 1 0 1 -2 3
45 SfB-Oure 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 Marienlyst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
47 Tuse 2 1 0 1 -4 3
48 Viby 2 1 0 1 -5 3
49 Vatanspor 2 1 0 1 -6 3
50 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Odder 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Marstal / Rise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Varde 2 0 1 1 -2 1
55 SGI 3 0 1 2 -7 1
56 Aabenraa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Klitmøller 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Mosede 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Hillerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 HIK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Dalum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 B 1909 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Munkebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Hvidovre IF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 FB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 B 93 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Såby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 KFUM 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 VSK Århus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Herlev 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Vejgaard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 VRI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Esbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Maribo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Lyngby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Farsø/Ullits 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 Solrød 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 BK Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 OKS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -4 0
88 Tune 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 B 1973 Herlev 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Skovshoved 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -5 0
92 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -6 0
93 Give Fremad 1 0 0 1 -7 0
94 Broager 1 0 0 1 -8 0
95 Øster Hornum 1 0 0 1 -8 0
96 Slagelse B&I 2 0 0 2 -9 0
97 AIA-Tranbjerg 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AB Copenhagen Aarhus
2′
⚽ J. Iheme 1–0
own goal
20′
🟨 S. Gronning
J. Iheme 🟨
31′
34′
⚽ J. Duin 1–1
S. Hausner
Half-time 1–1
A. Alicino 🟨
53′
57′
🔁 M. Emil Madsen
↦ K. Yakob
57′
🔁 S. Haugen
↦ Y. Aurel Bisseck
57′
🔁 T. Thiesson Kristensen
↦ S. Grønning
A. Curovic 🔁
↦ A. Pedersen
58′
M. Hørbye 🔁
↦ J. Iheme
58′
E. Mygind 🔁
↦ S. Trier
59′
G. Hansen 🟨
68′
69′
🔁 A. D'Alberto
↦ E. Kahl
C. Thrane 🔁
↦ E. Wass
74′
76′
⚽ S. Haugen 1–2
F. Brandhof
79′
🔁 A. Daghim
↦ J. Duin
M. Atici 🔁
↦ F. Ellegaard
80′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

AB Copenhagen

25 T. Brogaard
30 M. Gudmann
4 A. Pedersen
19 A. Nørager
3 G. Hansen
11 O. Angus
8 E. Wass
21 A. Alicino
22 S. Trier
14 J. Iheme
7 F. Ellegaard
Bench (7)
5 A. Curovic
20 M. Hørbye
9 E. Mygind
17 C. Thrane
23 M. Atici
16 C. Hauervig
15 L. Koch

Coach: P. Braune

Aarhus

1 J. Hansen
37 S. Hausner
14 T. Mølgaard
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck
19 E. Kahl
6 N. Poulsen
29 F. Brandhof
11 G. Links
17 K. Yakob
27 S. Grønning
18 J. Duin
Bench (9)
7 M. Emil Madsen
10 S. Haugen
23 T. Thiesson Kristensen
26 A. D'Alberto
28 A. Daghim
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit
22 B. Hvidt
42 J. Andersen
9 P. Mortensen

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
B ✓
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

S Rasmussen · 21 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.