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Copa del Rey

Referee: Álvaro Moreno

Peña Deportiva

1–1

Full-time

Malaga

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Algar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Mollerussa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Guijuelo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Ibiza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	CD Coria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Cazalegas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Velarde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Saguntino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Arenas Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Fuentes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Alcora	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
31	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Gernika	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Rincón	2	0	1	1	-3	1
36	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
37	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Algar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Mollerussa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Guijuelo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	CD Coria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Cazalegas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Velarde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Saguntino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Arenas Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
14	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Gernika	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
17	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Fuentes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Alcora	1	0	0	1	-3	0
29	Rincón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Alcora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Fuentes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Ibiza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Rincón	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Peña Deportiva Malaga

1–0 Carlos Cristeto ⚽

33′

43′

⚽ Fran Sol 1–1

Cristian Gutiérrez

Half-time 1–1

46′

🔁 P. Chavarría

↦ Pablo Hervías

46′

🔁 Genaro Rodríguez

↦ Rubén Castro

46′

🔁 Dani Lorenzo

↦ Jozabed

56′

🟨 J. Ramalho

62′

🔁 A. N'Diaye

↦ Aleix Febas

Samu Vázquez 🔁

↦ Jesús Fortes

63′

72′

🟨 E. Burgos

Lalo Hernández 🔁

↦ Jofre Cherta

72′

Christian Albert 🔁

↦ Marc Fraile

72′

75′

🔁 H. Abaida

↦ Cristian Gutiérrez

80′

🟨 G. Rodriguez

Lorenzo 🔁

↦ Roger Colomina

95′

105′

🔁 Unai Bustinza

↦ Andrés Caro

119′

🟨 A. N'Diaye

2–1 Cristian Cruz ⚽

121′

122′

⚽ P. Chavarría 2–2

3–2 Carlos Cristeto ⚽

123′

124′

⚽ Fran Sol 3–3

4–3 Lorenzo ⚽

125′

126′

⚽ E. Burgos 4–4

5–4 Carlos Badal ⚽

127′

128′

⚽ Genaro Rodríguez 5–5

6–5 Christian Albert ⚽

129′

130′

⚽ Dani Lorenzo 6–6

7–6 Chema Moreno ⚽

131′

132′

⚽ H. Abaida 7–7

8–7 Diego Cámara ⚽

133′

134′

⚽ A. N'Diaye 8–8

Ton Ripoll ❌

penalty missed

135′

136′

⚽ L. Agbenyenu 8–9

Full-time 8–9

Line-ups

Peña Deportiva

13 Edu Frías

3 Cristian Cruz

22 Carlos Badal

2 Jesús Fortes

4 Diego Cámara

8 Carlos Cristeto

11 Marc Fraile

15 Jofre Cherta

16 Roger Colomina

18 Chema Moreno

Ton Ripoll

Bench (5)

17 Samu Vázquez

6 Lalo Hernández

20 Christian Albert

19 Lorenzo

1 Javi Seral

Coach: Manolo González

Malaga

1 Manolo Reina

22 Jonás Ramalho

20 E. Burgos

15 L. Agbenyenu

31 Andrés Caro

14 Pablo Hervías

19 Jozabed

Aleix Febas

24 Rubén Castro

9 Fran Sol

Cristian Gutiérrez

Bench (10)

12 P. Chavarría

16 Genaro Rodríguez

26 Dani Lorenzo

18 A. N'Diaye

34 H. Abaida

4 Unai Bustinza

29 Loren Zúñiga

2 Juanfran

5 Juande Rivas

13 Rubén Yáñez

Coach: Pepe Mel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Álvaro Moreno · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,5 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

26,3 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Peña Deportiva

Malaga

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee