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LaLiga2

Referee: Francisco Hernández

Alaves

U S U S U

1–0

Full-time

Zaragoza

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Zaragoza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,5

1,8

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 40%

50%

29%

Points per game

1,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

43%

21%

Both score Ø 47%

64%

29%

Average goals

2,1

1,5

Scored

1,2

0,6

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%

9 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

4 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 2. · Zaragoza 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burgos	14	7	6	1	+9	27
2	Alaves	14	7	6	1	+5	27
3	Las Palmas	14	7	5	2	+9	26
4	Eibar	14	7	4	3	+5	25
5	Cartagena	14	7	3	4	+5	24
6	Levante	14	6	5	3	+5	23
7	Granada	14	6	4	4	+5	22
8	Albacete	14	5	7	2	+3	22
9	Andorra	14	6	3	5	+3	21
10	Huesca	14	5	5	4	+3	20
11	Sp Gijon	14	5	5	4	+1	20
12	Villarreal B	14	5	5	4	+0	20
13	Leganes	14	5	2	7	-1	17
14	Zaragoza	14	4	4	6	-3	16
15	Ponferradina	14	4	4	6	-6	16
16	Santander	14	3	6	5	-3	15
17	Tenerife	14	3	5	6	-3	14
18	Lugo	14	3	4	7	-4	13
19	Oviedo	14	3	4	7	-5	13
20	Mirandes	14	2	6	6	-6	12
21	Ibiza	14	3	2	9	-12	11
22	Malaga	14	2	3	9	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	7	5	2	0	+12	17
2	Eibar	7	5	2	0	+8	17
3	Burgos	7	5	2	0	+8	17
4	Villarreal B	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Alaves	7	4	3	0	+5	15
6	Sp Gijon	7	4	2	1	+6	14
7	Huesca	7	4	2	1	+5	14
8	Las Palmas	7	4	2	1	+4	14
9	Cartagena	8	4	2	2	+3	14
10	Levante	7	4	1	2	+5	13
11	Andorra	6	4	0	2	+6	12
12	Tenerife	7	3	3	1	+3	12
13	Leganes	7	3	2	2	+1	11
14	Albacete	7	2	4	1	+1	10
15	Mirandes	8	2	4	2	+0	10
16	Zaragoza	7	2	3	2	-1	9
17	Lugo	7	2	2	3	+0	8
18	Ponferradina	7	2	2	3	-2	8
19	Santander	7	1	4	2	-2	7
20	Oviedo	7	2	1	4	-3	7
21	Ibiza	7	2	1	4	-4	7
22	Malaga	6	1	2	3	-5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	7	3	3	1	+5	12
2	Albacete	7	3	3	1	+2	12
3	Alaves	7	3	3	1	+0	12
4	Cartagena	6	3	1	2	+2	10
5	Burgos	7	2	4	1	+1	10
6	Levante	7	2	4	1	+0	10
7	Andorra	8	2	3	3	-3	9
8	Santander	7	2	2	3	-1	8
9	Eibar	7	2	2	3	-3	8
10	Ponferradina	7	2	2	3	-4	8
11	Zaragoza	7	2	1	4	-2	7
12	Leganes	7	2	0	5	-2	6
13	Huesca	7	1	3	3	-2	6
14	Oviedo	7	1	3	3	-2	6
15	Sp Gijon	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	Lugo	7	1	2	4	-4	5
17	Villarreal B	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Granada	7	1	2	4	-7	5
19	Malaga	8	1	1	6	-5	4
20	Ibiza	7	1	1	5	-8	4
21	Tenerife	7	0	2	5	-6	2
22	Mirandes	6	0	2	4	-6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.