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LaLiga2
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
Malaga
T T U U U
1–0
Full-time
Ponferradina
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 19%
13%
25%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
38%
56%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 22. · Ponferradina 18. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 16 8 7 1 +6 31
2 Burgos 16 8 6 2 +9 30
3 Las Palmas 16 7 7 2 +9 28
4 Levante 16 7 6 3 +6 27
5 Eibar 16 7 6 3 +5 27
6 Granada 16 7 4 5 +8 25
7 Cartagena 16 7 4 5 +4 25
8 Andorra 16 7 3 6 +6 24
9 Huesca 17 6 6 5 +2 24
10 Sp Gijon 17 5 8 4 +1 23
11 Villarreal B 16 6 5 5 +0 23
12 Albacete 16 5 7 4 -2 22
13 Leganes 16 6 3 7 +0 21
14 Tenerife 16 5 5 6 +0 20
15 Santander 16 4 6 6 -3 18
16 Zaragoza 16 4 5 7 -4 17
17 Oviedo 16 4 5 7 -4 17
18 Ponferradina 16 4 5 7 -7 17
19 Mirandes 16 3 7 6 -5 16
20 Lugo 16 3 5 8 -8 14
21 Ibiza 16 3 3 10 -13 12
22 Malaga 16 2 5 9 -10 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Ponferradina
9′
ℹ️ Agus Medina
VAR: Goal cancelled
10′
🟨 Agus Medina
35′
🟨 Giorgi Makaridze
Half-time 0–0
Pablo Hervías 🔁
↦ H. Abaida
46′
47′
🟨 Erik Morán
Dani Lorenzo 🔁
↦ L. Agbenyenu
57′
57′
🔁 Hugo Vallejo
↦ Dani Ojeda
57′
🔁 S. Abdulai
↦ K. Nwakali
0–1 Erik Morán ⚽
own goal
58′
69′
🔁 Adrián Castellano
↦ Ale Díez
69′
🔁 Yuri
↦ José Naranjo
Loren Zúñiga 🔁
↦ Rubén Castro
72′
Luis Muñoz 🔁
↦ Alberto Escassi
72′
75′
🟨 Alexandru Paşcanu
77′
🔁 Derik Lacerda
↦ Edu Espiau
Unai Bustinza 🔁
↦ Juanfran
79′
91′
🟨 Adrián Diéguez
Loren Zúñiga 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Malaga

4-4-2
13 Rubén Yáñez G
2 Juanfran D
20 E. Burgos D
5 Juande Rivas D
15 L. Agbenyenu D
34 H. Abaida M
10 Aleix Febas M
23 Alberto Escassi M
39 Cristian Gutiérrez M
24 Rubén Castro F
21 Fran Villalba F
Bench (11)
14 Pablo Hervías
26 Dani Lorenzo
29 Loren Zúñiga
8 Luis Muñoz
4 Unai Bustinza
22 Jonás Ramalho
16 Genaro Rodríguez
19 Jozabed
1 Manolo Reina
12 P. Chavarría
9 Fran Sol

Coach: Pepe Mel

Ponferradina

4-2-3-1
13 G. Makaridze G
22 Paris Adot D
4 A. Pașcanu D
3 Adrián Diéguez D
21 Ale Díez D
18 Erik Morán M
11 K. Nwakali M
7 Dani Ojeda M
8 Agus Medina M
20 José Naranjo M
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (10)
30 Hugo Vallejo
24 S. Abdulai
15 Adrián Castellano
10 Yuri
23 Derik Lacerda
17 Heriberto Tavares
14 Ricard Pujol
5 José Amo
31 N. Fedotov
2 Aldair

Coach: José Gomes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,14
B
3,40
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.