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LaLiga2
Malaga
T T U U U
0–2
Full-time
Ponferradina
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 48%
52%
43%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

9 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 4
12 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 12. · Ponferradina 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 22 14 3 5 +21 45
2 Mallorca 22 13 6 3 +20 45
3 Almeria 20 13 2 5 +13 41
4 Vallecano 22 11 4 7 +7 37
5 Sp Gijon 21 10 6 5 +6 36
6 Leganes 20 10 4 6 +5 34
7 Girona 22 9 6 7 +0 33
8 Lugo 22 8 7 7 +2 31
9 Ponferradina 21 9 4 8 -3 31
10 Las Palmas 21 7 8 6 -3 29
11 Fuenlabrada 22 6 10 6 -1 28
12 Malaga 21 7 7 7 -7 28
13 Oviedo 21 6 9 6 +3 27
14 Mirandes 21 7 6 8 +0 27
15 Logrones 21 8 3 10 -8 27
16 Tenerife 22 7 5 10 -3 26
17 Alcorcon 21 5 6 10 -6 21
18 Sabadell 21 5 5 11 -7 20
19 Cartagena 21 5 5 11 -8 20
20 Castellon 21 5 4 12 -10 19
21 Zaragoza 22 4 6 12 -8 18
22 Albacete 21 4 6 11 -13 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,33
U
2,85
B ✓
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,71
U2,5 ✓
1,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.