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Serie B
Referee: M Gualtieri
Perugia
T T U S U
0–0
Full-time
Spal
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Spal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
33%
40%
Both score Ø 44%
40%
47%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
11 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Perugia 20. · Spal 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 15 10 2 3 +12 32
2 Reggina 15 9 2 4 +15 29
3 Ternana 16 7 4 5 +2 25
4 Bari 15 5 8 2 +6 23
5 Parma 16 6 5 5 +4 23
6 Genoa 15 6 5 4 +3 23
7 Brescia 15 6 5 4 -1 23
8 Sudtirol 15 5 7 3 -1 22
9 Ascoli 15 5 6 4 +2 21
10 Modena 15 6 2 7 +1 20
11 Pisa 15 4 7 4 +4 19
12 Cagliari 16 4 7 5 -2 19
13 Cittadella 15 4 7 4 -3 19
14 Benevento 16 4 6 6 -2 18
15 Palermo 15 5 3 7 -4 18
16 Cosenza 15 4 4 7 -9 16
17 Spal 15 3 6 6 -2 15
18 Venezia 15 4 3 8 -6 15
19 Como 15 3 6 6 -9 15
20 Perugia 15 3 3 9 -10 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Perugia Spal
16′
🔁 A. La Mantia
↦ G. Moncini
29′
🟨 Marco Varnier
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 F. Maistro
↦ F. Proia
Simone Santoro ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
60′
63′
🔁 S. Rabbi
↦ M. Finotto
63′
🔁 A. Fiordaliso
↦ G. Tunjov
64′
🟨 Biagio Meccariello
Yeferson Paz 🟨
69′
L. Strizzolo 🔁
↦ F. Melchiorri
70′
76′
🔁 L. Valzania
↦ N. Zanellato
G. Luperini 🔁
↦ C. Kouan
81′
S. Vulikić 🔁
↦ A. Rosi
81′
F. Lisi 🔁
↦ Y. Paz
86′
G. Di Serio 🔁
↦ M. Olivieri
86′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Perugia

3-4-1-2
1 S. Gori G
97 F. Sgarbi D
21 M. Curado D
2 A. Rosi D
24 T. Casasola M
16 P. Bartolomei M
25 S. Santoro M
17 Y. Paz M
28 C. Kouan F
9 F. Melchiorri F
11 M. Olivieri F
Bench (10)
41 L. Strizzolo
13 G. Luperini
6 S. Vulikić
23 F. Lisi
20 G. Di Serio
4 E. Iannoni
12 J. Furlan
5 G. Angella
81 A. Abibi
33 A. Beghetto

Coach: F. Castori

Spal

3-5-2
1 E. Alfonso G
27 P. Peda D
13 M. Varnier D
6 B. Meccariello D
40 G. Tunjov M
8 F. Proia M
5 S. Esposito M
10 N. Zanellato M
3 A. Tripaldelli M
9 G. Moncini F
11 M. Finotto F
Bench (12)
19 A. La Mantia
37 F. Maistro
99 S. Rabbi
2 A. Fiordaliso
16 L. Valzania
20 M. Prati
18 M. Arena
23 A. Murgia
22 D. Thiam
4 C. Dalle Mura
21 R. Celia
32 N. Rauti

Coach: D. De Rossi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U ✓
3,18
B
3,89
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Gualtieri · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.