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LaLiga2
Referee: Álvaro Moreno
Villarreal B
T S T S U
5–2
Full-time
Cartagena
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal B Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 37%
35%
39%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 44%
45%
42%
Average goals
2,3
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

54% Possession 46%
20 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Villarreal B 11. · Cartagena 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 31 17 8 6 +11 59
2 Granada 32 17 7 8 +20 58
3 Las Palmas 32 15 13 4 +17 58
4 Levante 32 14 14 4 +13 56
5 Alaves 32 15 9 8 +12 54
6 Albacete 32 13 12 7 +6 51
7 Burgos 32 11 13 8 +5 46
8 Cartagena 31 12 8 11 +3 44
9 Huesca 32 9 15 8 +2 42
10 Tenerife 32 10 11 11 +0 41
11 Villarreal B 31 11 8 12 -5 41
12 Andorra 32 11 7 14 +4 40
13 Mirandes 31 10 10 11 -2 40
14 Leganes 32 10 10 12 -3 40
15 Zaragoza 32 9 12 11 -3 39
16 Oviedo 32 10 9 13 -5 39
17 Santander 31 9 10 12 -3 37
18 Sp Gijon 32 8 13 11 -4 37
19 Ponferradina 32 7 12 13 -13 33
20 Malaga 32 5 12 15 -11 27
21 Ibiza 32 5 10 17 -23 25
22 Lugo 31 5 9 17 -21 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal B Cartagena
1–0 Álex Millán
Fer Niño
9′
15′
🟨 Pêpê
20′
Borja Valle 1–1
Oscar Ureña
29′
Kiko Olivas 1–2
P. De Blasis
Half-time 1–2
Miguel Angel Leal 🟨
47′
Diego Collado 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
63′
N. Iosifov 🔁
↦ Migue Leal
63′
63′
🔁 Pablo Vázquez
↦ Iván Martos
63′
🔁 Mikel Rico
↦ Pêpê Rodrigues
64′
🔁 I. Jansson
↦ Darío Poveda
68′
🔁 F. Feuillassier
↦ Oscar Ureña
71′
🟨 Pablo Vázquez
2–2 Dela
73′
Sergio Lozano 🟨
75′
76′
🟨 Pablo Vázquez
76′
🟥 Pablo Vázquez
79′
🔁 José Mari
↦ P. De Blasis
Antonio Pacheco 🔁
↦ Álex Millán
88′
Álex Forés 🔁
↦ Sergio Lozano
88′
89′
🟨 Damián Musto
3–2 Antonio Pacheco
Carlo Adriano
93′
4–2 Álex Forés
Diego Collado
95′
99′
🟥 Damián Musto
5–2 N. Iosifov
99′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Villarreal B

4-4-2
13 Iker Álvarez G
2 Migue Leal D
4 Dela D
19 Pablo Íñiguez D
3 Dani Tasende D
5 Sergio Carreira M
8 Carlo Adriano M
6 Alberto del Moral M
21 Sergio Lozano M
11 Fer Niño F
9 Álex Millán F
Bench (11)
7 Diego Collado
15 N. Iosifov
20 Antonio Pacheco
17 Álex Forés
28 Hugo Pérez
18 Carlos Romero
12 Iker Goujón
24 L. Torres
25 Gianni
22 T. Geralnik
10 Javi Ontiveros

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Cartagena

4-1-4-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
16 Iván Calero D
21 Kiko Olivas D
6 T. Datković D
3 Iván Martos D
18 D. Musto M
11 Darío Poveda M
23 Pêpê Rodrigues M
8 P. De Blasis M
38 Oscar Ureña M
10 Borja Valle F
Bench (11)
5 Pablo Vázquez
17 Mikel Rico
24 I. Jansson
14 F. Feuillassier
26 José Mari
1 Marc Martínez
15 Sangalli
33 Carlos Sánchez
9 Alfredo Ortuño
12 Lee Sang-Hyeok
7 David Ferreiro

Coach: Luis Carrión

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,46
U
2,99
B
3,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,35
U2,5
1,57
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Álvaro Moreno · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.