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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Orellana
Cartagena
U U S U S
0–3
Full-time
Burgos
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 27%
16%
37%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
42%
47%
Both score Ø 55%
63%
47%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
9 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 20. · Burgos 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 19 11 4 4 +18 37
2 Valladolid 19 11 2 6 +4 35
3 Sp Gijon 19 9 6 4 +11 33
4 Espanol 20 9 6 5 +10 33
5 Eibar 19 9 4 6 +8 31
6 Ferrol 19 8 7 4 +3 31
7 Santander 20 8 6 6 +5 30
8 Tenerife 19 9 3 7 +3 30
9 Oviedo 20 7 8 5 +7 29
10 Elche 20 8 5 7 -1 29
11 Levante 19 7 7 5 +0 28
12 Zaragoza 19 7 5 7 +0 26
13 Burgos 19 7 5 7 -1 26
14 Eldense 20 6 7 7 -5 25
15 Mirandes 19 6 6 7 -1 24
16 Albacete 19 6 6 7 -4 24
17 Andorra 20 6 5 9 -6 23
18 Villarreal B 19 5 5 9 -8 20
19 Huesca 19 4 7 8 -4 19
20 Cartagena 19 3 6 10 -11 15
21 Amorebieta 19 3 5 11 -12 14
22 Alcorcon 19 3 5 11 -16 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Burgos
6′
Álex Bermejo 0–1
Álex Sancris
Gonzalo Verdú 🟨
21′
Pedro Alcalá 🟨
23′
Ivan Calero 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
54′
🔁 Miki Muñoz
↦ Fer Niño
Jose Fontán 🟨
55′
Juan Carlos Real 🔁
↦ D. Musto
60′
Úmaro Embaló 🔁
↦ Gonzalo Verdú
60′
Jairo Izquierdo 🔁
↦ L. de León
60′
Luis Muñoz 🟨
61′
63′
Álex Bermejo 0–2
Mikel Rico 🔁
↦ Luis Muñoz
72′
H. Hevel 🔁
↦ I. Jansson
72′
73′
José Matos 0–3
76′
🟨 Matos
76′
🔁 Dani Ojeda
↦ Álex Sancris
86′
🔁 Ander Martín
↦ K. Appin
86′
🔁 Edu Espiau
↦ José Matos
86′
🔁 Borja González
↦ Álex Bermejo
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-2-3-1
1 Marc Martínez G
16 Iván Calero D
4 Alcalá D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
14 José Fontán D
23 T. Alarcón M
18 D. Musto M
8 Luis Muñoz M
29 L. de León M
21 I. Jansson M
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
Bench (11)
11 Juan Carlos Real
19 Úmaro Embaló
20 Jairo Izquierdo
17 Mikel Rico
10 H. Hevel
13 Raúl Lizoain
32 Jony Álamo
35 Iván Ayllón
47 Juan Carlos
24 Jony
48 Jhafets Christ

Coach: Julián Calero

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Antonio Caro G
6 Raúl Navarro D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
20 Grego Sierra D
23 José Matos D
11 Álex Sancris M
5 Miguel Atienza M
12 K. Appin M
10 Álex Bermejo M
9 Fer Niño F
16 Curro Sánchez F
Bench (9)
22 Miki Muñoz
7 Dani Ojeda
8 Ander Martín
19 Edu Espiau
2 Borja González
26 S. Rodríguez
1 L. Badiashile
17 Andy Rodríguez
27 Javi López

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,36
U
3,02
B ✓
3,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,47
U2,5
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Orellana · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.