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LaLiga2
Referee: Raúl González
Cartagena
T T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Amorebieta
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Amorebieta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 18%
22%
13%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
48%
35%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 21. · Amorebieta 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 23 13 6 4 +21 45
2 Eibar 24 12 5 7 +11 41
3 Sp Gijon 23 10 9 4 +12 39
4 Espanol 23 10 8 5 +11 38
5 Ferrol 23 10 8 5 +4 38
6 Levante 23 9 9 5 +2 36
7 Valladolid 23 11 3 9 +1 36
8 Oviedo 23 8 10 5 +9 34
9 Elche 23 9 7 7 +0 34
10 Santander 23 9 6 8 +3 33
11 Burgos 23 9 6 8 +1 33
12 Zaragoza 23 8 8 7 +2 32
13 Tenerife 23 9 4 10 -1 31
14 Mirandes 24 7 9 8 +0 30
15 Eldense 23 7 9 7 -3 30
16 Albacete 23 6 7 10 -8 25
17 Villarreal B 23 6 6 11 -11 24
18 Alcorcon 23 6 6 11 -13 24
19 Huesca 23 5 8 10 -3 23
20 Andorra 23 6 5 12 -11 23
21 Cartagena 23 5 6 12 -12 21
22 Amorebieta 23 3 7 13 -15 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Amorebieta
Jose Fontán 🟨
20′
33′
🟨 Alvaro Nunez
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Félix Garreta
Mikel Rico 🔁
↦ Alfredo Ortuño
60′
Arnau Ortiz 🔁
↦ T. Alarcón
60′
70′
🔁 R. Edwards
↦ Erik Morán
Andy Rodríguez ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
75′
1–0 Andy Rodríguez
76′
Andy Rodríguez 🟨
79′
80′
🔁 Iker Unzueta
↦ Ángel Troncho
80′
🔁 Jon Morcillo
↦ Rayco Rodríguez
81′
🟨 Josué Dorrio
Jony Álamo 🔁
↦ Andy Rodríguez
82′
Kiko Olivas 🔁
↦ Gonzalo Verdú
82′
86′
🔁 Eraso
↦ Àlex Carbonell
Juan Carlos Real 🔁
↦ J. Narváez
88′
Raúl Lizoain 🟨
92′
99′
🟨 Xabier Etxeita
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-3-3
13 Raúl Lizoain G
16 Iván Calero D
4 Alcalá D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
14 José Fontán D
23 T. Alarcón M
18 D. Musto M
6 Andy Rodríguez M
20 Jairo Izquierdo F
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
12 J. Narváez F
Bench (12)
17 Mikel Rico
26 Arnau Ortiz
32 Jony Álamo
22 Kiko Olivas
11 Juan Carlos Real
1 Marc Martínez
19 Úmaro Embaló
35 Iván Ayllón
48 Jhafets Christ
29 L. de León
21 I. Jansson
33 Arnau Solà

Coach: Julián Calero

Amorebieta

4-4-2
30 Pablo Cuñat G
15 Álvaro Núñez D
4 Manu Hernando D
3 Xabier Etxeita D
28 Félix Garreta D
29 Ángel Troncho M
21 Àlex Carbonell M
8 Erik Morán M
17 Rayco Rodríguez M
7 Josué Dorrio F
9 Eneko Jauregi F
Bench (11)
10 R. Edwards
23 Iker Unzueta
22 Jon Morcillo
14 Eraso
11 Iker Seguín
2 Jorge Mier
27 L. Quintero
1 Unai Marino
24 Josep Gayá
5 Unai Bustinza
13 Jon Mikel

Coach: Jandro Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,91
U
3,22
B
4,31
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,41
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Raúl González · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.