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LaLiga2
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
Valladolid
U S U U U
3–0
Full-time
Oviedo
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 41%
44%
37%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
26%
30%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
44%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 6. · Oviedo 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 27 14 8 5 +23 50
2 Eibar 27 13 7 7 +12 46
3 Espanol 27 12 8 7 +12 44
4 Sp Gijon 27 11 10 6 +9 43
5 Ferrol 27 11 10 6 +3 43
6 Valladolid 27 12 6 9 +3 42
7 Oviedo 27 10 11 6 +14 41
8 Elche 27 11 8 8 +2 41
9 Santander 27 11 6 10 +2 39
10 Levante 27 9 12 6 +1 39
11 Burgos 27 11 6 10 -3 39
12 Zaragoza 27 9 9 9 +3 36
13 Tenerife 27 10 6 11 -1 36
14 Eldense 27 8 11 8 -3 35
15 Mirandes 27 8 9 10 -1 33
16 Cartagena 27 8 7 12 -9 31
17 Albacete 27 7 9 11 -7 30
18 Huesca 27 6 11 10 -2 29
19 Villarreal B 27 7 8 12 -13 29
20 Alcorcon 27 7 7 13 -16 28
21 Andorra 27 6 7 14 -13 25
22 Amorebieta 27 4 8 15 -16 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Oviedo
Lucas Rosa 🟨
10′
1–0 Monchu
Luis Pérez
18′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Ndiaye
S. Biuk
48′
3–0 A. Ndiaye
S. Jurić
50′
A. Tuhami 🔁
↦ A. Ndiaye
54′
56′
🔁 Borja Bastón
↦ Alemão
56′
🔁 Santi Cazorla
↦ Jaime Seoane
65′
🔁 Masca
↦ Sebas Moyano
65′
🔁 Luismi
↦ Jimmy
César de la Hoz 🔁
↦ Víctor Meseguer
74′
Kenedy 🔁
↦ S. Biuk
74′
76′
🟨 Luismi
78′
🔁 Borja Sánchez
↦ S. Colombatto
Sergio Escudero 🔁
↦ Luis Pérez
81′
Marcos André 🔁
↦ M. Sylla
81′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-1-4-1
1 Jordi Masip G
2 Luis Pérez D
34 César Tárrega D
6 E. Boyomo D
22 Lucas Rosa D
20 S. Jurić M
19 A. Ndiaye M
4 Víctor Meseguer M
8 Monchu M
17 S. Biuk M
7 M. Sylla F
Bench (10)
23 A. Tuhami
16 César de la Hoz
24 Kenedy
18 Sergio Escudero
9 Marcos André
3 David Torres
13 André Ferreira
21 Álvaro Negredo
10 Iván Sánchez
12 Lucas Oliveira

Coach: P. Pezzolano

Oviedo

4-4-2
31 Leo Román G
7 Viti Rozada D
15 Oier Luengo D
12 Dani Calvo D
23 Abel Bretones D
22 J. Dubasin M
6 Jimmy M
11 S. Colombatto M
17 Sebas Moyano M
16 Jaime Seoane F
14 Alemão F
Bench (11)
9 Borja Bastón
8 Santi Cazorla
20 Masca
5 Luismi
25 Borja Sánchez
1 Q. Braat
21 Carlos Pomares
19 Álex Millán
13 S. Homenchenko
24 Lucas Ahijado
35 Jaime Vázquez

Coach: Luis Carrión

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,19
U
2,97
B
3,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,64
U2,5
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.