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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Oviedo
U S S U T
5–0
Full-time
Burgos
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 39%
35%
42%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
27%
46%
Both score Ø 44%
46%
42%
Average goals
1,9
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 15
11 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 10. · Burgos 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 26 13 8 5 +20 47
2 Eibar 26 13 6 7 +12 45
3 Sp Gijon 26 11 9 6 +9 42
4 Ferrol 26 11 9 6 +3 42
5 Espanol 26 11 8 7 +9 41
6 Valladolid 26 12 5 9 +3 41
7 Elche 26 11 7 8 +2 40
8 Santander 26 11 6 9 +4 39
9 Burgos 26 11 6 9 +2 39
10 Oviedo 26 9 11 6 +9 38
11 Levante 26 9 11 6 +1 38
12 Zaragoza 27 9 9 9 +3 36
13 Eldense 26 8 11 7 -2 35
14 Mirandes 26 8 9 9 +2 33
15 Tenerife 26 9 6 11 -2 33
16 Cartagena 27 8 7 12 -9 31
17 Huesca 26 6 10 10 -2 28
18 Villarreal B 26 7 7 12 -13 28
19 Alcorcon 26 7 7 12 -13 28
20 Albacete 26 6 9 11 -9 27
21 Andorra 26 6 6 14 -13 24
22 Amorebieta 26 4 7 15 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Burgos
1–0 Sebas Moyano
Jaime Seoane
14′
Jonathan Dubasin 🟨
35′
2–0 Jaime Seoane
Santi Cazorla
42′
3–0 Sebas Moyano
45′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 Álex Sancris
↦ Miki Muñoz
4–0 Sebas Moyano
Viti Rozada
51′
56′
🔁 Edu Espiau
↦ Fer Niño
56′
🔁 K. Appin
↦ Dani Ojeda
56′
🔁 Álex Bermejo
↦ Joni Montiel
Masca 🔁
↦ J. Dubasin
57′
66′
🔁 Grego Sierra
↦ Miguel Atienza
Sebas Moyano 🟨
67′
S. Homenchenko 🔁
↦ Santi Cazorla
70′
Borja Bastón 🔁
↦ Alemão
70′
Borja Sánchez 🔁
↦ Sebas Moyano
70′
Lucas Ahijado 🔁
↦ Viti Rozada
79′
Jaime Seoane ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
87′
5–0 Borja Bastón
89′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
31 Leo Román G
7 Viti Rozada D
15 Oier Luengo D
12 Dani Calvo D
23 Abel Bretones D
6 Jimmy M
8 Santi Cazorla M
22 J. Dubasin M
16 Jaime Seoane M
17 Sebas Moyano M
14 Alemão F
Bench (9)
20 Masca
13 S. Homenchenko
9 Borja Bastón
25 Borja Sánchez
24 Lucas Ahijado
1 Q. Braat
35 Jaime Vázquez
21 Carlos Pomares
5 Luismi

Coach: Luis Carrión

Burgos

4-3-3
13 José Antonio Caro G
2 Borja González D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
23 José Matos D
22 Miki Muñoz M
5 Miguel Atienza M
21 Joni Montiel M
16 Curro Sánchez F
9 Fer Niño F
7 Dani Ojeda F
Bench (8)
11 Álex Sancris
19 Edu Espiau
12 K. Appin
10 Álex Bermejo
20 Grego Sierra
8 Ander Martín
4 A. Arroyo
1 L. Badiashile

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,00
U
3,07
B
4,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,62
U2,5
1,47
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.