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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
Alcorcon
U T U T S
1–1
Full-time
Amorebieta
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Amorebieta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 24%
25%
22%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
28%
28%
Both score Ø 35%
31%
38%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Alcorcon 19. · Amorebieta 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 33 17 9 7 +26 60
2 Eibar 33 16 7 10 +16 55
3 Espanol 33 14 12 7 +14 54
4 Santander 33 15 8 10 +7 53
5 Elche 32 15 8 9 +7 53
6 Valladolid 33 15 7 11 +7 52
7 Burgos 33 14 8 11 -1 50
8 Sp Gijon 33 13 10 10 +6 49
9 Oviedo 32 12 12 8 +12 48
10 Levante 33 11 15 7 +2 48
11 Ferrol 32 12 12 8 +2 48
12 Tenerife 32 11 9 12 -2 42
13 Eldense 33 10 12 11 -6 42
14 Huesca 33 9 14 10 +6 41
15 Cartagena 33 10 9 14 -11 39
16 Zaragoza 32 9 11 12 -1 38
17 Mirandes 33 9 10 14 -8 37
18 Albacete 33 7 12 14 -10 33
19 Alcorcon 32 8 9 15 -19 33
20 Andorra 33 8 8 17 -15 32
21 Amorebieta 32 7 9 16 -13 30
22 Villarreal B 32 7 9 16 -19 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alcorcon Amorebieta
Dyego Sousa 🟨
-5′
3′
🟨 Unai Bustinza
1–0 Jacobo González
4′
Óscar Rivas 🟨
6′
18′
Eneko Jauregi 1–1
Erik Morán
27′
🟨 Josep Gayá
Half-time 1–1
Javi Castro 🔁
↦ Chema Rodríguez
46′
60′
🟨 Unai Bustinza
60′
🟥 Unai Bustinza
Fede Vico 🔁
↦ E. Addai
61′
Koldo Obieta 🔁
↦ Chiki
61′
68′
🔁 J. Yriarte
↦ Erik Morán
77′
🔁 R. Edwards
↦ Jon Morcillo
Jacobo González 🟨
80′
Juanma Bravo 🔁
↦ Pedro Mosquera
81′
86′
🔁 Àlex Carbonell
↦ Josué Dorrio
86′
🔁 Iker Unzueta
↦ Eneko Jauregi
Juan Artola 🔁
↦ Iago López
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Alcorcon

4-4-2
1 Jesús Ruiz G
20 Iago López D
4 Óscar Rivas D
23 Chema Rodríguez D
3 David Morillas D
17 Víctor García M
16 Javi Pérez M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
26 E. Addai M
8 Jacobo González F
9 Chiki F
Bench (12)
2 Javi Castro
14 Fede Vico
21 Koldo Obieta
10 Juanma Bravo
22 Juan Artola
24 Iker Bilbao
6 J. Babin
15 Javi Lara
11 Dyego Sousa
28 Jaime Garrido
13 Lucas Anacker
19 Xavi Quintillà

Coach: M. Nafti

Amorebieta

3-4-3
13 Jon Mikel G
5 Unai Bustinza D
3 Xabier Etxeita D
24 Josep Gayá D
15 Álvaro Núñez M
8 Erik Morán M
20 K. Sibo M
2 Jorge Mier M
7 Josué Dorrio F
9 Eneko Jauregi F
22 Jon Morcillo F
Bench (10)
6 J. Yriarte
10 R. Edwards
21 Àlex Carbonell
23 Iker Unzueta
17 Rayco Rodríguez
11 Iker Seguín
30 Pablo Cuñat
14 Eraso
19 J. Locadia
1 Unai Marino

Coach: Jandro Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U ✓
2,97
B
3,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,72
U2,5 ✓
1,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.