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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Castellon
S U T U U
2–0
Full-time
Malaga
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
56%
38%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
38%
Average goals
2,9
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 3
11 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 12. · Malaga 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 17 11 4 2 +12 37
2 Almeria 17 9 4 4 +7 31
3 Mirandes 17 9 4 4 +6 31
4 Sp Gijon 16 7 5 4 +7 26
5 Elche 17 7 5 5 +7 26
6 Levante 15 7 5 3 +6 26
7 Granada 17 7 5 5 +4 26
8 Oviedo 17 7 5 5 -2 26
9 Zaragoza 17 7 4 6 +6 25
10 Huesca 17 6 5 6 +6 23
11 Albacete 17 6 5 6 -2 23
12 Castellon 16 6 4 6 +2 22
13 Malaga 16 4 10 2 -1 22
14 Eibar 16 6 3 7 -2 21
15 La Coruna 17 5 5 7 +2 20
16 Eldense 16 5 3 8 -4 18
17 Cadiz 17 4 6 7 -6 18
18 Burgos 16 5 3 8 -7 18
19 Cordoba 16 4 5 7 -8 17
20 Ferrol 16 2 8 6 -8 14
21 Tenerife 16 2 5 9 -10 11
22 Cartagena 16 3 1 12 -15 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Castellon Malaga
D. Chirino 🔁
↦ J. Willems
23′
1–0 T. van den Belt
25′
32′
🟨 Álex Pastor
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Antonio Cordero
↦ Y. Rahmani
Josep Calavera 🔁
↦ Cala
56′
59′
🟨 Nélson Monte
64′
🔁 Dioni
↦ Sergio Castel
D. Flakus Bosilj 🔁
↦ B. Cipenga
67′
Gonzalo Pastor 🔁
↦ Douglas Aurélio
67′
Dani Villahermosa 🔁
↦ Sergio Moyita
67′
2–0 D. Flakus Bosilj
Raúl Sánchez
72′
74′
🟨 Dioni
77′
🔁 Kevin Medina
↦ David Larrubia
83′
🔁 R. Baturina
↦ Julen Lobete
83′
🔁 Ramón Enríquez
↦ Álex Pastor
Daniel Villahermosa 🟨
85′
Raúl Sánchez 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Castellon

3-4-3
1 G. Crettaz G
17 Salva Ruiz D
5 Alberto Jiménez D
15 J. Willems D
21 Cala M
6 T. van den Belt M
7 Sergio Moyita M
8 K. Mamah M
11 Douglas Aurélio F
10 Raúl Sánchez F
16 B. Cipenga F
Bench (12)
22 D. Chirino
23 Josep Calavera
12 D. Flakus Bosilj
51 Gonzalo Pastor
19 Dani Villahermosa
33 J. Vertrouwd
4 Israel Suero
13 A. Abedzadeh
46 Peré
20 M. Seuntjens
30 B. Schwake
27 José Albert

Coach: D. Schreuder

Malaga

4-3-3
1 Alfonso Herrero G
3 Puga D
5 Álex Pastor D
20 Nélson Monte D
14 Víctor García D
10 David Larrubia M
19 Luismi M
12 Manu Molina M
24 Julen Lobete F
25 Sergio Castel F
21 Y. Rahmani F
Bench (12)
26 Antonio Cordero
17 Dioni
11 Kevin Medina
9 R. Baturina
6 Ramón Enríquez
35 A. Moloney
16 Diego Murillo
23 Sangalli
2 Gabilondo
13 Carlos López
18 Dani Sánchez
29 Izan Merino

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,93
U
3,31
B
3,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.