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LaLiga2
Referee: Marta Huerta
Almeria
T S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Cartagena
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 27%
41%
12%
Points per game
1,6
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
62%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
74%
44%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,7
0,6
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
28 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 8. · Cartagena 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 35 19 9 7 +21 66
2 Levante 35 17 12 6 +20 63
3 Santander 35 17 9 9 +13 60
4 Mirandes 35 17 8 10 +15 59
5 Oviedo 35 16 10 9 +9 58
6 Granada 35 15 10 10 +12 55
7 Huesca 34 15 9 10 +14 54
8 Almeria 34 14 11 9 +10 53
9 Burgos 35 14 8 13 -4 50
10 La Coruna 35 12 13 10 +6 49
11 Cordoba 35 13 10 12 -1 49
12 Albacete 35 12 11 12 +0 47
13 Eibar 35 12 11 12 -1 47
14 Cadiz 35 11 12 12 +0 45
15 Sp Gijon 35 10 14 11 +0 44
16 Castellon 35 11 10 14 -2 43
17 Malaga 34 9 15 10 -3 42
18 Zaragoza 35 10 11 14 -3 41
19 Eldense 35 10 9 16 -13 39
20 Tenerife 35 8 8 19 -16 32
21 Ferrol 35 4 11 20 -38 23
22 Cartagena 34 4 5 25 -39 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Cartagena
1–0 Léo Baptistão
Álex Centelles
9′
39′
🟨 Jorge Moreno
Nicolás Melamed 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 L. Suárez
Léo Baptistão
54′
60′
🔁 José Machín
↦ Óscar Clemente
60′
🔁 Álex Millán
↦ Alfredo Ortuño
60′
🔁 D. Luna
↦ Andy Rodríguez
L. Robertone 🔁
↦ Gonzalo Melero
69′
Arnau Puigmal 🔁
↦ Léo Baptistão
69′
69′
🔁 R. Núñez
↦ A. Vukčević
M. Perović 🔁
↦ Nico Melamed
78′
79′
🔁 Dani Escriche
↦ S. El Jebari
Marc Pubill 🟨
81′
85′
Álex Millán 2–1
Gui 🔁
↦ Sergio Arribas
86′
Silvi 🔁
↦ D. Lopy
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 Luís Maximiano G
18 Marc Pubill D
3 Edgar González D
16 A. Radovanović D
20 Álex Centelles D
6 D. Lopy M
8 Gonzalo Melero M
12 Léo Baptistão M
11 Sergio Arribas M
10 Nico Melamed M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (11)
5 L. Robertone
2 Arnau Puigmal
36 M. Perović
27 Gui
23 Silvi
4 Kaiky
24 Bruno Langa
17 Álex Pozo
13 Fernando Martínez
31 Bruno Iribarne
19 M. Milovanović

Coach: Rubi

Cartagena

5-3-2
1 Pablo Cuñat G
21 Julián Delmás D
19 Martín Aguirregabiria D
4 Pedro Alcalá D
2 Jorge Moreno D
12 A. Vukčević D
11 Óscar Clemente M
5 A. Ndiaye M
17 Andy Rodríguez M
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
33 S. El Jebari F
Bench (12)
16 José Machín
14 Álex Millán
32 D. Luna
38 R. Núñez
10 Dani Escriche
20 Nacho Martínez
40 Toni Fuidias
6 Sergio Guerrero
22 Kiko Olivas
30 J. Dick
24 N. Šipčić
28 Jesús Hernández

Coach: Guillermo Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,19
U
6,46
B
12,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marta Huerta · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.