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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban
Malaga
U S S U T
0–1
Full-time
Cadiz
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
1,8
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
17 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
5 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 10. · Cadiz 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 La Coruna 6 4 2 0 +11 14
2 Santander 5 4 0 1 +5 12
3 Valladolid 6 3 2 1 +4 +2.3 11
4 Andorra 6 3 2 1 +3 11
5 Cadiz 5 3 2 0 +3 11
6 Las Palmas 6 3 2 1 +3 11
7 Huesca 6 3 1 2 -2 10
8 Sp Gijon 6 3 0 3 +0 9
9 Burgos 5 2 2 1 +4 +3.1 8
10 Malaga 5 2 2 1 +1 8
11 Almeria 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Eibar 5 2 1 2 +3 7
13 Leganes 6 1 4 1 +1 7
14 Mirandes 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Ceuta 6 2 1 3 -5 -2.3 7
16 Sociedad B 5 1 2 2 -1 5
17 Castellon 6 1 2 3 -2 5
18 Albacete 6 1 2 3 -3 5
19 Cordoba 5 1 1 3 -4 4
20 Cultural Leonesa 6 1 1 4 -6 -3.1 4
21 Zaragoza 6 0 3 3 -4 3
22 Granada 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Cadiz
18′
S. Ortuno 0–1
J. Lobete 🔁
↦ A. Nino
31′
Half-time 0–1
D. Sanchez 🔁
↦ V. Garcia
46′
C. Dotor 🔁
↦ D. Brasanac
46′
Einar Galilea 🟨
59′
65′
🔁 B. Ocampo
↦ E. Ugiagbe
70′
🔁 Y. Diarra
↦ I. Tabatadze
70′
🔁 A. Fernandez
↦ Suso
R. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ Juanpe
71′
E. Jauregi 🔁
↦ J. Montero
82′
82′
🔁 D. Camara
↦ A. Pascual
92′
🟨 Mario Climent
95′
🟨 Iza Carcelén
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Malaga

4-4-2
1 A. Herrero G
16 D. Murillo D
4 E. Galilea D
20 J. Montero D
14 V. Garcia D
10 D. Larrubia M
5 D. Brasanac M
8 Juanpe M
21 A. Nino M
9 Chupe F
22 D. Lorenzo F
Bench (11)
13 C. Lopez
2 J. Gabilondo
36 A. Recio
18 D. Sanchez
12 C. Dotor
35 A. Ochoa
37 R. Rodriguez
7 H. Abaida
25 J. Dorrio
17 E. Jauregi
24 J. Lobete

Coach: Sergio Pellicer García

Cadiz

4-4-2
13 V. Aznar G
20 I. Carcelen D
14 B. Kovacevic D
6 I. Ortega D
21 M. Climent D
12 I. Tabatadze M
5 M. Diakite M
15 S. Ortuno M
7 E. Ugiagbe M
11 Suso F
23 A. Pascual F
Bench (12)
26 F. Perez
30 R. Blanco
34 J. Diaz Peregrina
27 P. Fernandez
2 J. Moreno
33 R. Pereira
18 Y. Diarra
8 A. Fernandez
22 J. Ontiveros
17 D. Camara
9 R. Marti
10 B. Ocampo

Coach: Gaizka Garitano Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
U
2,88
B ✓
2,83
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,54
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.