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LaLiga2
Referee: Gorka Etayo Herrera
Huesca
S U S S T
1–0
Full-time
Malaga
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huesca Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huesca 10. · Malaga 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 4 4 0 0 +7 12
2 La Coruna 5 3 2 0 +7 11
3 Cadiz 5 3 2 0 +3 11
4 Sp Gijon 4 3 0 1 +2 9
5 Valladolid 4 2 2 0 +4 +2.3 8
6 Las Palmas 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 Malaga 4 2 2 0 +2 8
8 Eibar 5 2 1 2 +3 7
9 Andorra 4 2 1 1 +1 7
10 Huesca 4 2 1 1 +1 7
11 Mirandes 5 2 0 3 -2 6
12 Burgos 4 1 2 1 +3 +3.1 5
13 Almeria 4 1 2 1 +0 5
14 Sociedad B 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Leganes 4 0 4 0 +0 4
16 Cordoba 4 1 1 2 -2 4
17 Ceuta 4 1 0 3 -6 -2.3 3
18 Zaragoza 4 0 2 2 -3 2
19 Castellon 4 0 1 3 -4 1
20 Albacete 4 0 1 3 -5 1
21 Granada 4 0 1 3 -6 1
22 Cultural Leonesa 4 0 1 3 -6 -3.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huesca Malaga
Iker Kortajarena 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Brasanac
↦ J. Lobete
Iñigo Sebastián Magana 🟨
58′
Julio Alonso 🟨
61′
61′
🟨 Diego Murillo
O. Sielva 🔁
↦ J. Alvarez
66′
A. Carrillo 🔁
↦ Pina
67′
67′
🔁 D. Lorenzo
↦ C. Dotor
67′
🔁 A. Nino
↦ Chupe
L. Beltran 🔁
↦ D. Luna
73′
M. Rico 🔁
↦ F. Portillo
74′
77′
🟨 Joaquín Muñoz
S. Ntamack 🔁
↦ A. Perez
78′
79′
🔁 R. Rodriguez
↦ Juanpe
85′
🔁 E. Jauregi
↦ J. Munoz
1–0 L. Beltran
90′
Liberto Beltrán 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Huesca

3-4-3
13 D. Jimenez G
5 Pina D
14 J. Pulido D
28 S. Arribas D
22 A. Perez M
10 I. Kortajarena M
16 J. Alvarez M
17 J. Alonso M
33 D. Luna F
18 E. Rodriguez F
20 F. Portillo F
Bench (12)
30 D. Martin
1 Perez Juan
2 Toni Abad
15 H. Perez
4 A. Carrillo
3 R. Abajas
23 O. Sielva
7 M. Rico
11 L. Beltran
19 S. Ntamack
38 G. Albarracin
31 D. Aznar

Coach: Sergi Guilló Barceló

Malaga

4-4-2
1 A. Herrero G
16 D. Murillo D
36 A. Recio D
20 J. Montero D
14 V. Garcia D
11 J. Munoz M
8 Juanpe M
12 C. Dotor M
24 J. Lobete M
9 Chupe F
10 D. Larrubia F
Bench (11)
5 D. Brasanac
13 C. Lopez
31 Rafita
22 D. Lorenzo
4 E. Galilea
37 R. Rodriguez
35 A. Ochoa
21 A. Nino
7 H. Abaida
2 J. Gabilondo
17 E. Jauregi

Coach: Sergio Pellicer García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
U
2,92
B
3,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,62
U2,5 ✓
1,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gorka Etayo Herrera · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.