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Premiership

Referee: C Graham

Hearts

U S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Livingston

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Livingston

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 34%

63%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

58%

74%

Both score Ø 61%

53%

68%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

2,0

1,1

Conceded

0,9

2,1

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,14 xG 0,61

63% Possession 37%

17 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 1. · Livingston 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	19	12	5	2	+21	+7.4	41
2	Celtic	20	12	2	6	+13	+8.7	38
3	Rangers	20	10	8	2	+13	+3.2	38
4	Motherwell	20	8	9	3	+12	+5.6	33
5	Hibernian	20	8	7	5	+11	-0.1	31
6	Dundee United	20	5	10	5	-1	-4.3	25
7	Aberdeen	19	7	4	8	-3	-4.8	25
8	Falkirk	19	6	6	7	-7	-1.1	24
9	Dundee	20	5	4	11	-15	-8.1	19
10	St Mirren	18	4	6	8	-8	+3.6	18
11	Kilmarnock	20	2	7	11	-17	-6.4	13
12	Livingston	19	1	6	12	-19	-3.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	10	7	1	2	+13	+7.4	22
2	Hearts	9	6	3	0	+13	+3.1	21
3	Motherwell	10	6	3	1	+11	+7.0	21
4	Rangers	10	5	4	1	+4	+5.6	19
5	Hibernian	10	5	3	2	+10	+2.7	18
6	Dundee	10	5	1	4	-1	-2.4	16
7	Aberdeen	10	3	4	3	+2	-3.4	13
8	Dundee United	10	3	4	3	-1	-1.7	13
9	St Mirren	10	3	4	3	-1	+4.8	13
10	Falkirk	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.1	11
11	Kilmarnock	10	1	3	6	-9	-1.1	6
12	Livingston	9	1	2	6	-6	+0.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	10	6	2	2	+8	+4.3	20
2	Rangers	10	5	4	1	+9	-2.5	19
3	Celtic	10	5	1	4	+0	+1.3	16
4	Hibernian	10	3	4	3	+1	-2.8	13
5	Falkirk	10	4	1	5	-7	-2.2	13
6	Motherwell	10	2	6	2	+1	-1.4	12
7	Dundee United	10	2	6	2	+0	-2.6	12
8	Aberdeen	9	4	0	5	-5	-1.4	12
9	Kilmarnock	10	1	4	5	-8	-5.3	7
10	St Mirren	8	1	2	5	-7	-1.2	5
11	Livingston	10	0	4	6	-13	-3.8	4
12	Dundee	10	0	3	7	-14	-5.7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.