Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Como
Udinese
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Milan
|
17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | +15 | +8.3 | 38 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | +21 | +14.3 | 36 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | +11 | +7.7 | 34 |
| 4 |
Roma
|
17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | +9 | +1.0 | 33 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | +8 | +10.1 | 32 |
| 6 |
Como
|
16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | +10 | +5.2 | 27 |
| 7 |
Bologna
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +10 | +2.7 | 26 |
| 8 |
Lazio
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | +6 | -4.3 | 24 |
| 9 |
Sassuolo
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | +1 | -5.4 | 22 |
| 10 |
Atalanta
|
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | +1 | +6.6 | 22 |
| 11 |
Udinese
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -10 | -4.5 | 22 |
| 12 |
Cremonese
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -2 | -8.9 | 21 |
| 13 |
Torino
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -11 | -3.2 | 20 |
| 14 |
Cagliari
|
18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -6 | -11.2 | 18 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -7 | -4.6 | 17 |
| 16 |
Lecce
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -11 | -6.8 | 16 |
| 17 |
Genoa
|
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -10 | +0.8 | 14 |
| 18 |
Verona
|
16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -12 | -3.2 | 12 |
| 19 |
Pisa
|
17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -12 | -6.2 | 11 |
| 20 |
Fiorentina
|
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -11 | +1.5 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Butez
G
I. Van der Brempt
D
J. Ramon
D
M. O. Kempf
D
A. Moreno
D
M. Caqueret
M
M. Perrone
M
L. Da Cunha
M
M. Vojvoda
F
A. Douvikas
F
J. Rodriguez
F
Coach: Cesc Fabregas
D. Padelli
G
T. Kristensen
D
C. Kabasele
D
N. Bertola
D
A. Zanoli
M
J. Piotrowski
M
J. Karlstrom
M
J. Ekkelenkamp
M
H. Kamara
M
N. Zaniolo
F
K. Davis
F
Coach: Kosta Runjaic
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lecce
Como
Roma
Como
Inter
Como
Como
Sassuolo
Torino
Como
Alberto Ruben Arena · 13 kamper i vår database
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.