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Superligaen

Aarhus

S T S S U

0–1

Full-time

Brondby

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Brondby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

This season — Superligaen · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 49%

54%

43%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

60%

54%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aarhus 3. · Brondby 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	35	26	4	5	+33	82
2	FC Copenhagen	35	20	5	10	+15	65
3	Aarhus	35	19	7	9	+18	64
4	Brondby	35	15	8	12	+13	53
5	Aalborg	35	15	6	14	+9	51
6	Odense	36	14	8	14	+4	50
7	Randers FC	34	14	6	14	+5	48
8	Nordsjaelland	35	13	8	14	+6	47
9	Horsens	34	13	8	13	-16	47
10	Sonderjyske	32	9	11	12	-12	38
11	Lyngby	34	10	8	16	-19	38
12	Hobro	34	5	16	13	-14	31
13	Silkeborg	32	6	8	18	-16	26
14	Esbjerg	32	5	7	20	-26	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	17	12	2	3	+15	38
2	Midtjylland	17	11	2	4	+14	35
3	Brondby	18	10	4	4	+13	34
4	Randers FC	17	10	3	4	+14	33
5	Odense	18	10	3	5	+13	33
6	Aarhus	17	10	3	4	+11	33
7	Aalborg	18	9	2	7	+5	29
8	Lyngby	17	8	4	5	-2	28
9	Nordsjaelland	18	7	6	5	+10	27
10	Horsens	17	7	4	6	-7	25
11	Sonderjyske	16	6	6	4	-1	24
12	Esbjerg	16	4	4	8	-5	16
13	Hobro	17	2	10	5	-6	16
14	Silkeborg	16	4	2	10	-6	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	18	15	2	1	+19	47
2	Aarhus	18	9	4	5	+7	31
3	FC Copenhagen	18	8	3	7	+0	27
4	Aalborg	17	6	4	7	+4	22
5	Horsens	17	6	4	7	-9	22
6	Nordsjaelland	17	6	2	9	-4	20
7	Brondby	17	5	4	8	+0	19
8	Odense	18	4	5	9	-9	17
9	Hobro	17	3	6	8	-8	15
10	Randers FC	17	4	3	10	-9	15
11	Sonderjyske	16	3	5	8	-11	14
12	Silkeborg	16	2	6	8	-10	12
13	Lyngby	17	2	4	11	-17	10
14	Esbjerg	16	1	3	12	-21	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.