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Superligaen
Midtjylland
S S T S U
1–2
Full-time
Aalborg
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,7
1,7
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — Superligaen · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 59%
74%
43%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
46%
49%
Both score Ø 40%
43%
37%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Midtjylland 1. · Aalborg 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 35 26 4 5 +33 82
2 FC Copenhagen 35 20 5 10 +15 65
3 Aarhus 35 19 7 9 +18 64
4 Brondby 35 15 8 12 +13 53
5 Aalborg 35 15 6 14 +9 51
6 Odense 36 14 8 14 +4 50
7 Randers FC 34 14 6 14 +5 48
8 Nordsjaelland 35 13 8 14 +6 47
9 Horsens 34 13 8 13 -16 47
10 Sonderjyske 32 9 11 12 -12 38
11 Lyngby 34 10 8 16 -19 38
12 Hobro 34 5 16 13 -14 31
13 Silkeborg 32 6 8 18 -16 26
14 Esbjerg 32 5 7 20 -26 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.