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Superligaen
Referee: Sandi Putros
Horsens
S U T U T
2–1
Full-time
Aarhus
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Horsens Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Superligaen · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Horsens 7. · Aarhus 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Silkeborg 6 4 1 1 +6 13
2 Aarhus 6 4 1 1 +5 13
3 Nordsjaelland 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Randers FC 6 3 3 0 +4 12
5 FC Copenhagen 6 3 0 3 +3 9
6 Viborg 6 3 0 3 +1 9
7 Horsens 6 2 2 2 +0 8
8 Midtjylland 6 1 3 2 +0 6
9 Brondby 6 2 0 4 -5 6
10 Aalborg 6 1 2 3 -4 5
11 Odense 6 1 1 4 -8 4
12 Lyngby 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Horsens Aarhus
28′
P. Mortensen 0–1
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Tobias Mølgaard
1–1 A. Jacobsen
D. Kruse
59′
Anders Jacobsen ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
60′
63′
🟨 Nicolai Poulsen
66′
🔁 E. Kahl
↦ G. Links
66′
🔁 F. Brandhof
↦ M. Emil Madsen
66′
🔁 J. Duin
↦ S. Haugen
J. Drachmann 🔁
↦ J. Gemmer
74′
A. Ludwig 🔁
↦ J. Gomez
74′
S. Iyede 🔁
↦ M. Opondo
78′
2–1 A. Sigurðarson
80′
84′
🔁 A. D'Alberto
↦ T. Mølgaard
85′
🔁 D. Kurminowski
↦ T. Thiesson Kristensen
M. Lassen 🔁
↦ L. Musonda
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Horsens

3-4-3
1 M. Delač G
21 J. Gomez D
4 M. Kiilerich D
3 M. Jensen D
18 T. Santos M
23 D. Kruse M
14 J. Gemmer M
24 L. Musonda M
11 A. Sigurðarson F
9 A. Jacobsen F
6 M. Opondo F
Bench (9)
8 J. Drachmann
33 A. Ludwig
26 S. Iyede
17 M. Lassen
7 L. Qamili
27 E. Just
19 M. Hannesbo
30 M. Bobjerg
34 M. Isager

Coach: J. Askou

Aarhus

3-5-2
1 J. Hansen G
23 T. Thiesson Kristensen D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
14 T. Mølgaard M
7 M. Emil Madsen M
6 N. Poulsen M
8 M. Anderson M
11 G. Links M
9 P. Mortensen F
10 S. Haugen F
Bench (9)
19 E. Kahl
29 F. Brandhof
18 J. Duin
26 A. D'Alberto
21 D. Kurminowski
16 D. Andersen
20 Z. Duncan
22 B. Hvidt
37 S. Hausner

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sandi Putros · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.