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Superligaen
Referee: Jacob Karlsen
Horsens
U T S S T
5–1
Full-time
Randers FC
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Horsens Randers FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Superligaen · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
40%
47%
Both score Ø 47%
40%
53%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Horsens 10. · Randers FC 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 15 9 4 2 +12 31
2 Viborg 15 8 4 3 +7 28
3 Randers FC 15 6 5 4 +1 23
4 Odense 15 6 4 5 -2 22
5 Silkeborg 15 6 3 6 +3 21
6 FC Copenhagen 15 6 3 6 +3 21
7 Aarhus 15 6 3 6 +3 21
8 Midtjylland 15 5 6 4 +2 21
9 Brondby 15 5 5 5 -3 20
10 Horsens 15 5 3 7 -4 18
11 Aalborg 15 3 5 7 -6 14
12 Lyngby 15 0 5 10 -16 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Aug -22 Randers FC – Horsens 1–0 2. Feb -21 Randers FC – Horsens 3–0 13. Sep -20 Horsens – Randers FC 0–3 28. Jun -20 Randers FC – Horsens 0–3 20. Jun -20 Horsens – Randers FC 0–0

Match report

Horsens Randers FC
0–1 A. Andersson ⚽
own goal
35′
37′
⚽ M. Egho 0–2
D. Høegh
1–2 J. Gemmer ⚽
T. Santos
38′
Half-time 1–2
Anders Jacobsen 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 M. Pedersen
↦ F. Lauenborg
46′
🔁 H. Andersson
↦ S. Graves
46′
🔁 T. Klysner
↦ T. Kehinde
Moses Opondo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
47′
48′
🟨 Hugo Andersson
2–2 A. Sigurðarson ⚽
49′
66′
🔁 A. Stankovic
↦ P. Carlgren
M. Hannesbo 🔁
↦ L. Musonda
71′
D. Kruse 🔁
↦ M. Opondo
71′
3–2 A. Sigurðarson ⚽
71′
E. Just 🔁
↦ A. Sigurðarson
72′
84′
🟨 Mikkel Mejlstrup Pedersen
S. Makienok 🔁
↦ A. Jacobsen
86′
89′
🔁 F. Bundgaard
↦ S. Odey
S. Iyede 🔁
↦ J. Drachmann
92′
4–2 M. Lassen ⚽
D. Kruse
92′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Horsens

3-4-3
30 M. Bobjerg G
17 M. Lassen D
4 M. Kiilerich D
33 A. Ludwig D
18 T. Santos M
8 J. Drachmann M
14 J. Gemmer M
24 L. Musonda M
6 M. Opondo F
9 A. Jacobsen F
11 A. Sigurðarson F
Bench (9)
19 M. Hannesbo
23 D. Kruse
27 E. Just
13 S. Makienok
26 S. Iyede
34 M. Isager
36 A. Nehme
40 A. Hermansen
7 L. Qamili

Coach: J. Askou

Randers FC

4-2-3-1
1 P. Carlgren G
8 A. Andersson D
3 D. Høegh D
2 S. Graves D
15 B. Kopplin D
6 L. Johnsen M
14 F. Lauenborg M
10 T. Kehinde M
90 S. Odey M
9 J. Ankersen M
45 M. Egho F
Bench (9)
12 M. Pedersen
5 H. Andersson
18 T. Klysner
25 A. Stankovic
40 F. Bundgaard
44 N. Brock-Madsen
20 M. Isah
39 O. Jensen
99 A. Kamara

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jacob Karlsen · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.