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Superligaen
Referee: Jorgen Daugbjerg Burchardt
Brondby
T U S U T
5–2
Full-time
Horsens
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Horsens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Superligaen · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 32%
29%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 53%
59%
47%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
3 Free kicks against 8
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brondby 10. · Horsens 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 18 10 6 2 +16 36
2 Viborg 17 9 5 3 +9 32
3 FC Copenhagen 18 9 3 6 +11 30
4 Aarhus 18 7 4 7 +2 25
5 Odense 18 6 7 5 -2 25
6 Randers FC 18 6 7 5 -3 25
7 Silkeborg 18 7 3 8 -1 24
8 Midtjylland 17 5 8 4 +2 23
9 Horsens 17 6 4 7 +0 22
10 Brondby 17 5 6 6 -5 21
11 Aalborg 18 3 5 10 -12 14
12 Lyngby 18 1 6 11 -17 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Sep -22 Horsens – Brondby 0–2 20. Dec -20 Horsens – Brondby 1–2 27. Sep -20 Brondby – Horsens 2–1 7. Jun -20 Horsens – Brondby 3–2 4. Aug -19 Brondby – Horsens 1–2

Match report

Brondby Horsens
1–0 N. Vallys ⚽
31′
40′
⚽ J. Bell 2–0
own goal
45′
⚽ M. Opondo 2–1
L. Musonda
Half-time 3–1
3–1 D. Wass ⚽
54′
4–1 O. Omoijuanfo ⚽
56′
60′
🔁 M. Lassen
↦ J. Gomez
60′
🔁 J. Buus
↦ E. Just
S. Sebulonsen 🔁
↦ J. Bell
62′
64′
🔁 D. Kruse
↦ J. Drachmann
M. Kvistgaarden 🔁
↦ S. Hedlund
72′
A. Ben Slimane 🔁
↦ H. Evjen
73′
5–1 N. Vallys ⚽
M. Greve
75′
6–1 N. Vallys ⚽
A. Ben Slimane
83′
O. Schwartau 🔁
↦ N. Vallys
88′
J. Radošević 🔁
↦ D. Wass
88′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Brondby

4-3-3
1 M. Hermansen G
10 D. Wass D
18 K. Tshiembe D
4 F. Winther D
15 B. Riveros D
8 M. Greve M
6 J. Bell M
7 N. Vallys M
11 H. Evjen F
27 S. Hedlund F
9 O. Omoijuanfo F
Bench (9)
2 S. Sebulonsen
36 M. Kvistgaarden
25 A. Ben Slimane
41 O. Schwartau
22 J. Radošević
23 C. Cappis
16 T. Mikkelsen
12 C. Björk
32 F. Alves

Coach: J. Sørensen

Horsens

3-4-3
16 S. Brolin G
3 M. Jensen D
4 M. Kiilerich D
21 J. Gomez D
18 T. Santos M
8 J. Drachmann M
14 J. Gemmer M
24 L. Musonda M
6 M. Opondo F
9 A. Jacobsen F
27 E. Just F
Bench (9)
17 M. Lassen
15 J. Buus
23 D. Kruse
33 A. Ludwig
22 T. Stagaard
29 J. Beluli
19 M. Hannesbo
26 S. Iyede
30 M. Bobjerg

Coach: J. Askou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jorgen Daugbjerg Burchardt · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.