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Superligaen
Referee: J Hansen
Brondby
T U S U T
2–0
Full-time
Sonderjyske
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Sonderjyske
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
43%
14%
Points per game
1,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,4
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
17 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 0
8 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
5 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brondby 5. · Sonderjyske 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 8 6 2 0 +9 +6.7 20
2 Aarhus 8 5 2 1 +14 +1.6 17
3 Silkeborg 8 5 1 2 +6 +0.6 16
4 FC Copenhagen 8 4 2 2 +5 +4.3 14
5 Brondby 7 3 2 2 +4 +5.4 11
6 Randers FC 7 3 2 2 +1 -0.2 11
7 Nordsjaelland 7 3 2 2 +0 +3.6 11
8 Viborg 8 2 3 3 +2 -1.1 9
9 Aalborg 8 3 0 5 -11 -5.1 9
10 Lyngby 8 1 2 5 -6 -2.7 5
11 Sonderjyske 7 1 2 4 -7 -9.6 5
12 Vejle 8 0 0 8 -17 -3.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brondby Sonderjyske
1–0 M. Kvistgaarden
F. Bundgaard
3′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 I. Nikolov
↦ M. Agger
M. Divković 🔁
↦ C. Bischoff
60′
65′
🟨 Daníel Grétarsson
S. Spierings 🔁
↦ D. Wass
70′
N. Vallys 🔁
↦ F. Bundgaard
71′
72′
🔁 R. Vinderslev
↦ L. Björklund
72′
🔁 J. Gallegos
↦ T. Sommer
2–0 Y. Suzuki
M. Kvistgaarden
75′
Rasmus Lauritsen 🟨
78′
N. Nartey 🔁
↦ Y. Suzuki
82′
M. Rajović 🔁
↦ M. Kvistgaarden
82′
83′
🔁 O. Hyseni
↦ A. Oggesen
83′
🔁 I. Djantou
↦ L. Qamili
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Brondby

3-4-2-1
1 P. Pentz G
31 S. Klaiber D
5 R. Lauritsen D
4 J. Rasmussen D
2 S. Sebulonsen M
22 J. Radošević M
10 D. Wass M
37 C. Bischoff M
11 F. Bundgaard F
28 Y. Suzuki F
36 M. Kvistgaarden F
Bench (9)
24 M. Divković
6 S. Spierings
7 N. Vallys
35 N. Nartey
17 M. Rajović
18 K. Tshiembe
16 T. Mikkelsen
30 J. Vanlerberghe
34 L. Vraa-Jensen

Coach: J. Sørensen

Sonderjyske

3-4-2-1
16 J. Busk G
12 M. Soulas D
26 T. Sommer D
4 D. Grétarsson D
22 A. Oggesen M
7 S. Emini M
8 L. Björklund M
21 J. Simonsen M
15 L. Qamili F
25 M. Agger F
10 K. Ingason F
Bench (9)
18 I. Nikolov
6 R. Vinderslev
17 J. Gallegos
24 O. Hyseni
9 I. Djantou
11 A. Lyng
1 N. Flø
5 M. Dal Hende
23 E. Duru

Coach: T. Nørgaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Hansen · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.