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Superligaen

Referee: M Kristoffersen

Aarhus

T S S S S

4–2

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,8

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,8

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,36 xG 1,51

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 3. · Nordsjaelland 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	6	5	0	1	+8	+1.0	15
2	Midtjylland	6	4	2	0	+6	+6.3	14
3	Aarhus	6	4	1	1	+12	+1.8	13
4	Brondby	6	3	2	1	+6	+5.0	11
5	FC Copenhagen	6	3	2	1	+4	+4.8	11
6	Nordsjaelland	6	3	2	1	+2	+3.5	11
7	Randers FC	6	2	2	2	+0	-0.2	8
8	Aalborg	6	2	0	4	-11	-5.1	6
9	Viborg	6	1	2	3	-3	-2.5	5
10	Lyngby	7	1	2	4	-5	-2.7	5
11	Sonderjyske	6	1	1	4	-7	-8.2	4
12	Vejle	7	0	0	7	-12	-3.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	3	3	0	0	+5	+1.9	9
2	Midtjylland	3	3	0	0	+5	+5.2	9
3	Nordsjaelland	4	2	2	0	+4	+2.5	8
4	Aarhus	3	2	1	0	+8	+1.6	7
5	FC Copenhagen	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.8	5
6	Viborg	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.4	4
7	Brondby	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.0	4
8	Randers FC	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.2	3
9	Lyngby	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.7	3
10	Aalborg	3	1	0	2	-7	-2.9	3
11	Sonderjyske	2	0	1	1	-2	-3.0	1
12	Vejle	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	3	2	1	0	+6	+3.0	7
2	Aarhus	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.1	6
3	FC Copenhagen	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.9	6
4	Silkeborg	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.9	6
5	Randers FC	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.1	5
6	Midtjylland	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.1	5
7	Nordsjaelland	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.9	3
8	Aalborg	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.2	3
9	Sonderjyske	4	1	0	3	-5	-5.2	3
10	Lyngby	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.1	2
11	Viborg	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.1	1
12	Vejle	4	0	0	4	-8	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.